| Omni Rankings™ | 2025 College football | through 1/19/26 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Dayton | |||||||||||||||||||
| Pioneer page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Dayton schedule | Rating: 51.24 (D-I #225) Projected season record: 6 - 4 overall, 5 - 3 Pioneer | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Dayton win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Eastern Illinois | Road | Loss | 14 - 24 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 43.63 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Robert Morris | Road | Win | 17 - 14 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 44.44 | |||||||||||
| 3 | Stetson | Home | Win | 48 - 14 | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 | W2 | 46.82 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Morehead State | Road | Win | 35 - 28 | 3 - 1 | 2 - 0 | W3 | 47.23 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Valparaiso | Road | Win | 41 - 10 | 4 - 1 | 3 - 0 | W4 | 4-1 | 49.35 | ||||||||||
| 6 | Butler | Home | Loss | 17 - 23 | 4 - 2 | 3 - 1 | L1 | 4-1 | 48.34 | Dayton by 1 | 54% | ||||||||
| 7 | Presbyterian | Home | Win | 35 - 19 | 5 - 2 | 4 - 1 | W1 | 4-1 | 52.10 | Presbyterian by 14 | 19% | ||||||||
| 8 | San Diego | Road | Loss | 13 - 31 | 5 - 3 | 4 - 2 | L1 | 3-2 | 50.28 | San Diego by 3 | 42% | ||||||||
| 9 | Drake | Home | Loss | 6 - 14 | 5 - 4 | 4 - 3 | L2 | 2-3 | 50.10 | Drake by 6 | 34% | ||||||||
| 10 | Davidson | Road | Win | 42 - 14 | 6 - 4 | 5 - 3 | W1 | 2-3 | 51.24 | Dayton by 18 | 87% | ||||||||
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