| Omni Rankings™ | 2026 College football | through 10/3/26 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Michigan State | |||||||||||||||||||
| Big Ten page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Michigan State schedule | Rating: 85.01 (D-I #65) Projected season record: 5 - 7 overall, 3 - 6 Big Ten | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Michigan State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Toledo | Home | Win | 30 - 20 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 88.08 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Eastern Michigan | Home | Win | 35 - 7 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 88.38 | |||||||||||
| 3 | Notre Dame | Road | Loss | 10 - 27 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 90.62 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Nebraska | Home | Loss | 13 - 31 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 1 | L2 | 88.46 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Wisconsin | Road | Loss | 3 - 31 | 2 - 3 | 0 - 2 | L3 | 2-3 | 85.01 | Wisconsin by 4 | 42% | ||||||||
| 6 | Illinois | Home | 10/10/2026 | Michigan State by 1 | 52% | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | Northwestern | Home | 10/17/2026 | Northwestern by 15 | 25% | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | UCLA | Road | 10/24/2026 | UCLA by 17 | 22% | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | Michigan | Road | 11/7/2026 | Michigan by 9 | 34% | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | Washington | Home | 11/14/2026 | Michigan State by 3 | 55% | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | Oregon | Home | 11/20/2026 | Oregon by 7 | 37% | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | Rutgers | Road | 11/28/2026 | Michigan State by 6 | 61% | ||||||||||||||
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