Omni Rankingsô 2011-2012 Men's college basketball Macro ratings through 4/2/12 games Sun Belt Micro page
Sun Belt 13-14 12-13 11-12 10-11 09-10
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Home court factor = 3.91 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Middle Tennessee 77.83 72 82.02 70.52 69.90 175 26 7 14 2 L1 6-4 14 2 12 4 0 1 2 3 5 2 19 2 vs Akron 89.24 at Western Kentucky 71.23
2 Denver 76.43 87 78.06 66.32 69.31 199 22 9 11 5 L1 6-4 14 2 7 6 1 1 1 1 5 2 16 6 vs Boise State 84.47 vs UALR 65.61
3 North Texas 70.51 161 71.78 61.98 68.11 235 15 14 9 7 L1 5-5 8 4 5 8 2 2 0 1 2 5 13 8 vs Louisiana Monroe 79.64 at UT Arlington 52.31
4 Western Kentucky 69.11 179 69.11 59.84 70.17 165 16 19 7 9 L1 8-2 8 7 3 8 5 4 0 4 3 6 13 9 vs Denver 74.52 vs VCU 51.44
5 Arkansas State 69.05 180 69.23 64.93 70.41 156 13 20 6 10 L1 4-6 9 5 2 14 2 1 1 3 1 7 11 10 at St. Bonaventure 77.35 vs Missouri State 58.40
6 UALR 68.14 192 69.12 62.84 69.62 186 14 16 12 4 L1 7-3 8 6 6 9 0 1 0 2 2 5 12 9 vs South Alabama 77.65 vs Louisiana Lafayette 56.29
7 South Alabama 66.49 219 68.60 61.59 68.17 233 16 12 8 8 L1 7-3 8 5 6 6 2 1 0 1 2 6 14 5 at Troy 76.06 at UALR 55.41
8 Florida Atlantic 65.97 224 71.74 65.97 71.28 134 10 19 7 9 L5 3-7 5 5 4 11 1 3 0 3 3 5 7 11 at Troy 80.04 vs FIU 55.93
9 Louisiana Lafayette 65.76 229 69.24 65.54 68.30 226 15 16 10 6 L3 5-5 9 5 5 9 1 2 0 0 2 9 13 7 at UALR 80.08 vs Louisiana Monroe 50.56
10 FIU 65.64 232 68.50 61.48 69.74 180 8 20 5 11 L1 3-7 2 9 5 9 1 2 0 0 2 9 6 11 at Florida Atlantic 80.76 vs Arkansas Pine Bluff 56.50
11 Troy 63.37 263 69.73 62.29 70.24 164 9 18 5 11 L1 3-7 5 7 4 10 0 1 0 1 1 6 8 11 vs Miami (OH) 74.51 at Arkansas State 53.94
12 Louisiana Monroe 58.01 311 61.27 55.65 69.76 179 3 25 2 14 W1 1-9 0 12 3 13 0 0 0 1 0 9 3 15 at Louisiana Lafayette 73.29 at Troy 47.33
Sun Belt top performances Sun Belt surprise performances Sun Belt upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Middle Tennessee vs Akron W 77 - 53 89.24 1 Louisiana Monroe at Louisiana Lafayette W 78 - 60 17.65 1 Louisiana Monroe at Louisiana Lafayette W 78 - 60 16.46
2 Middle Tennessee at South Alabama W 68 - 47 86.76 2 FIU at Florida Atlantic W 76 - 56 14.23 2 South Alabama at LSU W 79 - 75 OT 16.46
3 Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Monroe W 94 - 61 86.54 3 North Texas at Loyola Marymount W 76 - 63 12.92 3 UALR at Denver W 66 - 59 16.28
4 Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss W 68 - 56 86.04 4 Denver vs Saint Mary's W 70 - 58 12.67 4 Arkansas State at St. Bonaventure W 58 - 52 14.72
5 Middle Tennessee at Austin Peay W 90 - 70 85.75 5 Louisiana Lafayette at UALR W 68 - 49 12.57 5 Denver vs Saint Mary's W 70 - 58 12.79
6 Denver vs Boise State W 79 - 62 84.47 6 UALR at Denver W 66 - 59 11.80 6 FIU at Stephen F. Austin W 58 - 56 12.63
7 Middle Tennessee at Tennessee W 71 - 64 84.20 7 Middle Tennessee at UCLA W 86 - 66 11.71 7 Louisiana Monroe at FIU W 54 - 50 12.58
8 Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic W 67 - 54 83.91 8 UALR vs South Alabama W 75 - 50 11.46 8 North Texas at Loyola Marymount W 76 - 63 12.25
9 Denver at Utah State W 67 - 54 83.55 9 Louisiana Monroe at Nicholls State W 86 - 65 10.94 9 FIU vs George Mason W 79 - 76 OT 12.05
10 Denver vs Louisiana Lafayette W 77 - 52 83.55 10 Arkansas State at St. Bonaventure W 58 - 52 10.50 10 Denver vs Southern Miss W 59 - 52 10.59
Sun Belt standings Sun Belt tournament bracket Most probable outcome realized Most probable outcome unrealized
(Louisiana-Monroe ineligible)
East Division Conference Overall 1 Middle Tennessee
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Middle Tennessee 14 2 26 7 8 Florida Atlantic @ Hot Springs, AR Arkansas State
2 South Alabama 8 8 16 12      
3 Western Kentucky 7 9 16 19 @ Hot Springs, AR Arkansas State  
4 Florida Atlantic 7 9 10 19    
5 FIU 5 11 8 20 9 Arkansas State @ Hot Springs, AR North Texas
6 Troy 5 11 9 18    
4 Louisiana Lafayette    
West Division Conference Overall      
Rank Team W L W L @ Hot Springs, AR North Texas  
1 UALR 12 4 14 16    
2 Denver 11 5 22 9 5 North Texas  
3 Louisiana Lafayette 10 6 15 16  
4 North Texas 9 7 15 14 @ Hot Springs, AR Western Kentucky
5 Arkansas State 6 10 13 20   2012 Sun Belt
6 Louisiana Monroe 2 14 3 25 2 UALR   Men's Basketball
    Tournament Champion
7 Western Kentucky @ Hot Springs, AR Western Kentucky  
Sun Belt tournament probabilities Outcome realized Outcome unrealized        
Probabilities based on pre-tournament Macro ratings @ Hot Springs, AR Western Kentucky    
Reaching Reaching Winning      
Seed Team semifinals final tournament 10 FIU @ Hot Springs, AR Western Kentucky
1 Middle Tennessee 85.04% 67.50% 41.56%  
2 UALR 58.67% 14.71% 4.03% 3 Denver  
3 Denver 87.31% 71.90% 41.13%    
4 Louisiana Lafayette 30.92% 5.36% 1.19% 6 South Alabama @ Hot Springs, AR Denver
5 North Texas 69.08% 20.92% 7.68%    
6 South Alabama 8.79% 3.91% 0.83% @ Hot Springs, AR South Alabama
7 Western Kentucky 23.24% 4.81% 1.09%  
8 Florida Atlantic 7.04% 2.87% 0.72% 11 Troy
9 Arkansas State 7.91% 3.35% 0.87%
10 FIU 18.09% 3.34% 0.68%
11 Troy 3.91% 1.34% 0.21% © Omni Rankings