Omni Rankings™ 2011-2012 Men's college basketball through 4/2/12 games Big West Macro page Big West Micro page
Cal Poly 12-13 11-12 10-11 09-10
Cal Poly schedule Macro rating: 70.13 (D-I #166)    Micro rating: 71.85 (D-I #147) Macro projected season record: 16 - 15 overall, 8 - 8 Big West    Micro projected season record: 16 - 15 overall, 8 - 8 Big West
Overall Conf Macro ratings and projections Micro ratings and projections
Game Division I opponent Site Result Score record record Streak Last 10 Rating Projection (correct/incorrect winner) Cal Poly win probability Rating Offense Defense Projection (correct/incorrect winner) Cal Poly win probability
1 San Jose State Home Win 79 - 52   1 - 0 0 - 0 W1     75.28       75.91 64.01 58.10    
2 CSU Bakersfield Home Loss 58 - 60   1 - 1 0 - 0 L1     70.89       71.95 60.77 58.82    
3 USC Road Win 42 - 36   2 - 1 0 - 0 W1     70.90       72.08 60.51 58.43    
4 UNLV Road Loss 52 - 75   2 - 2 0 - 0 L1     72.60       73.53 60.61 57.08    
5 Morgan State Neutral Win 62 - 61   3 - 2 0 - 0 W1     71.94 Cal Poly by 7 75%   73.31 60.77 57.46 Cal Poly 65 - 57 73%
6 Mississippi Valley State Neutral Win 72 - 55   4 - 2 0 - 0 W2     73.14 Cal Poly by 7 75%   74.07 61.38 57.30 Cal Poly 66 - 56 76%
7 Sacramento State Home Win 77 - 51   5 - 2 0 - 0 W3     74.92 Cal Poly by 11 85%   75.19 62.84 57.65 Cal Poly 63 - 48 86%
8 Saint Mary's Home Loss 54 - 59   5 - 3 0 - 0 L1     74.43       73.99 61.67 57.67    
9 San Jose State Road Win 47 - 40   6 - 3 0 - 0 W1     74.39 Cal Poly by 7 76%   73.69 60.00 56.30 Cal Poly 59 - 56 60%
10 Fresno State Road Win 65 - 46   7 - 3 0 - 0 W2 7-3   76.34 Fresno State by 1 48%   75.71 60.70 55.00 Fresno State 59 - 56 41%
11 DePaul Road Loss 58 - 63   7 - 4 0 - 0 L1 6-4   75.80 Cal Poly by 1 53%   74.85 59.81 54.96 Cal Poly 67 - 65 57%
12 UC Santa Barbara Home Loss 57 - 58   7 - 5 0 - 1 L2 6-4   75.61 Cal Poly by 1 54%   74.50 59.71 55.21 Cal Poly 59 - 55 61%
13 Long Beach State Road Loss 50 - 55   7 - 6 0 - 2 L3 5-5   76.03 Long Beach State by 10 17%   75.04 59.50 54.47 Long Beach State 64 - 52 18%
14 Cal State Fullerton Home Win 73 - 67   8 - 6 1 - 2 W1 6-4   75.66 Cal Poly by 10 84%   74.29 59.91 55.62 Cal Poly 69 - 55 86%
15 UC Irvine Road Win 66 - 50   9 - 6 2 - 2 W2 6-4   76.56 Cal Poly by 5 68%   75.31 60.36 55.05 Cal Poly 59 - 58 53%
16 UC Riverside Road Loss 53 - 60   9 - 7 2 - 3 L1 5-5   75.30 Cal Poly by 8 79%   74.54 60.57 56.03 Cal Poly 51 - 49 59%
17 Long Beach State Home Loss 69 - 78   9 - 8 2 - 4 L2 4-6   74.71 Long Beach State by 2 43%   73.87 61.31 57.44 Cal Poly 60 - 59 53%
18 Cal State Northridge Home Win 100 - 54   10 - 8 3 - 4 W1 5-5   75.86 Cal Poly by 17 94%   77.26 63.54 56.28 Cal Poly 68 - 52 89%
19 Pacific Road Loss 51 - 61   10 - 9 3 - 5 L1 4-6   74.54 Cal Poly by 7 76%   76.04 62.93 56.89 Cal Poly 60 - 53 71%
20 UC Davis Road Win 67 - 65   11 - 9 4 - 5 W1 4-6   73.59 Cal Poly by 15 91%   75.03 62.81 57.78 Cal Poly 67 - 52 87%
21 Cal State Fullerton Road Loss 61 - 83   11 - 10 4 - 6 L1 4-6   71.87 Cal Poly by 0 52%   73.35 62.44 59.09 Cal Poly 66 - 65 51%
22 CSU Bakersfield Road Loss 66 - 69   11 - 11 4 - 6 L2 4-6   71.24 Cal Poly by 5 69%   72.78 62.71 59.93 Cal Poly 63 - 60 61%
23 UC Riverside Home Win 54 - 52   12 - 11 5 - 6 W1 5-5   70.61 Cal Poly by 10 84%   72.38 62.51 60.12 Cal Poly 59 - 48 81%
24 UC Irvine Home Win 77 - 74   13 - 11 6 - 6 W2 5-5   70.18 Cal Poly by 9 80%   72.18 63.27 61.10 Cal Poly 70 - 57 84%
25 Cal State Northridge Road Loss 81 - 94   13 - 12 6 - 7 L1 4-6   68.91 Cal Poly by 5 68%   71.07 64.35 63.27 Cal Poly 65 - 61 63%
26 Northern Colorado Road Loss 73 - 81   13 - 13 6 - 7 L2 4-6   68.17 Cal Poly by 2 57%   70.72 64.76 64.04 Cal Poly 67 - 66 55%
27 UC Santa Barbara Road Loss 60 - 68   13 - 14 6 - 8 L3 4-6   68.39 UC Santa Barbara by 11 15%   70.68 64.60 63.92 UC Santa Barbara 70 - 58 19%
28 UC Davis Home Win 69 - 56   14 - 14 7 - 8 W1 4-6   68.46 Cal Poly by 12 88%   70.35 64.33 63.98 Cal Poly 73 - 56 90%
29 Pacific Home Win 67 - 38   15 - 14 8 - 8 W2 5-5   70.09 Cal Poly by 7 74%   71.62 64.63 63.01 Cal Poly 65 - 55 79%
30 UC Riverside Neutral Win 66 - 54   16 - 14 8 - 8 W3 5-5   70.54 Cal Poly by 6 71%   72.13 65.38 63.26 Cal Poly 58 - 52 66%
31 UC Santa Barbara Neutral Loss 52 - 64   16 - 15 8 - 8 L1 5-5   70.13 UC Santa Barbara by 6 26%   71.85 64.74 62.89 UC Santa Barbara 66 - 61 34%
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© Omni Rankings
Cal Poly Micro equitable statistics
Offensive statistics Cal Poly D-I rank
Points per game 64.74 243
Points per possession 1.0870 103
Possessions per game 59.56 339
Field goal % 42.92% 199
Effective field goal % 48.93% 181
2-point field goal % 46.42% 230
3-point field goal % 35.96% 110
3-point field goal attempt emphasis 33.42% 143
Free throw % 75.98% 26
Free throw attempts per possession 0.2572 294
Free throw attempts per field goal attempt 0.2882 323
Offensive rebound % (per available rebound) 35.38% 62
Assist % (per field goal) 55.11% 171
Assists per turnover 1.1101 96
Turnover % (per possession) 19.12% 114
Steals against % (per possession) 8.40% 61
Blocks against % (per field goal attempt) 7.40% 278
Defensive statistics Cal Poly D-I rank
Points allowed per game 62.89 80
Points allowed per possession 1.0560 204
Field goal % allowed 44.45% 217
Effective field goal % allowed 49.48% 190
2-point field goal % allowed 51.14% 286
3-point field goal % allowed 30.73% 45
Free throw attempts allowed per possession 0.3591 317
Free throw attempts allowed per field goal attempt 0.4514 319
Defensive rebound % (per available rebound) 72.95% 26
Assists allowed per turnover forced 1.0639 252
Forced turnover % (per possession) 17.29% 301
Steal % (per possession) 7.48% 297
Block % (per field goal attempt) 2.23% 332