Omni Rankings 2011-2012 Women's college basketball through 4/3/12 games Patriot Macro page Patriot Micro page
American 12-13 11-12 10-11 09-10
American schedule Macro rating: 68.62 (D-I #179)    Micro rating: 68.51 (D-I #188) Macro projected season record: 23 - 8 overall, 14 - 0 Patriot    Micro projected season record: 23 - 8 overall, 14 - 0 Patriot
Overall Conf Macro ratings and projections Micro ratings and projections
Game D-I opponent Site Result Score record record Streak Last 10 Rating Projection (correct/incorrect winner) American win probability Rating Offense Defense Projection (correct/incorrect winner) American win probability
1 George Mason Road Win 55 - 51   1 - 0 0 - 0 W1     73.65       72.05 60.82 58.77    
2 James Madison Home Loss 64 - 68 2OT 1 - 1 0 - 0 L1     72.52       72.31 60.58 58.27    
3 Oakland Home Loss 62 - 68   1 - 2 0 - 0 L2     71.97       72.36 61.06 58.70    
4 Mount St. Mary's Home Win 77 - 62   2 - 2 0 - 0 W1     72.01       69.98 61.95 61.97    
5 Youngstown State Road Win 48 - 41   3 - 2 0 - 0 W2     72.07       70.07 60.33 60.26    
6 Austin Peay Neutral Win 55 - 54   4 - 2 0 - 0 W3     71.32       69.27 58.98 59.70    
7 San Jose State Neutral Win 49 - 46   5 - 2 0 - 0 W4     69.29 American by 22 97%   67.92 56.99 59.07 American 69 - 53 89%
8 Maryland Eastern Shore Home Loss 37 - 39 OT 5 - 3 0 - 0 L1     68.02       66.09 54.20 58.11    
9 Maryland Home Loss 42 - 76   5 - 4 0 - 0 L2     67.26 Maryland by 21 3%   65.16 53.29 58.13 Maryland 75 - 51 4%
10 Troy Road Win 55 - 45   6 - 4 0 - 0 W1 6-4   66.87 American by 14 90%   64.79 52.69 57.90 American 62 - 49 83%
11 Loyola (MD) Home Win 63 - 48   7 - 4 0 - 0 W2 6-4   67.98 American by 2 58%   65.79 53.44 57.65 American 54 - 53 51%
12 Quinnipiac Home Loss 59 - 72   7 - 5 0 - 0 L1 6-4   66.50 American by 5 67%   64.41 53.31 58.90 American 60 - 58 57%
13 Western Michigan Home Win 77 - 52   8 - 5 0 - 0 W1 7-3   67.84 American by 9 79%   66.14 54.95 58.81 American 61 - 54 71%
14 George Washington Road Loss 49 - 60   8 - 6 0 - 0 L1 6-4   67.36 George Washington by 5 32%   65.92 54.70 58.78 George Washington 59 - 48 20%
15 Colgate Road Win 56 - 43   9 - 6 1 - 0 W1 6-4   67.83 American by 7 74%   66.36 54.58 58.22 American 55 - 53 57%
16 Lehigh Home Win 55 - 49   10 - 6 2 - 0 W2 6-4   68.09 American by 2 59%   66.60 54.63 58.03 American 55 - 52 60%
17 Holy Cross Road Win 61 - 58   11 - 6 3 - 0 W3 6-4   68.42 Holy Cross by 1 45%   66.50 54.54 58.04 Holy Cross 57 - 53 38%
18 Navy Home Win 49 - 44   12 - 6 4 - 0 W4 7-3   68.40 American by 5 69%   66.88 54.69 57.81 American 50 - 47 59%
19 Army Road Win 40 - 39   13 - 6 5 - 0 W5 8-2   68.40 American by 1 54%   67.01 53.88 56.87 Army 53 - 51 44%
20 Bucknell Home Win 71 - 45   14 - 6 6 - 0 W6 8-2   69.05 American by 17 93%   67.86 55.03 57.17 American 56 - 42 86%
21 Lafayette Home Win 80 - 54   15 - 6 7 - 0 W7 8-2   70.14 American by 11 84%   69.14 56.82 57.68 American 56 - 45 80%
22 Colgate Home Win 70 - 47   16 - 6 8 - 0 W8 9-1   70.77 American by 14 90%   69.46 57.19 57.73 American 65 - 50 87%
23 Lehigh Road Win 67 - 50   17 - 6 9 - 0 W9 9-1   72.02 Lehigh by 1 48%   70.94 58.09 57.15 Lehigh 58 - 54 38%
24 Holy Cross Home Win 67 - 47   18 - 6 10 - 0 W10 10-0   72.71 American by 10 83%   71.59 58.22 56.63 American 67 - 55 82%
25 Navy Road Win 55 - 52   19 - 6 11 - 0 W11 10-0   72.78 American by 2 57%   72.12 58.94 56.82 Navy 51 - 49 44%
26 Army Home Win 54 - 48   20 - 6 12 - 0 W12 10-0   72.45 American by 11 84%   71.35 58.44 57.09 American 59 - 48 80%
27 Bucknell Road Win 62 - 59   21 - 6 13 - 0 W13 10-0   71.89 American by 11 85%   71.61 59.28 57.67 American 54 - 48 68%
28 Lafayette Road Win 58 - 54   22 - 6 14 - 0 W14 10-0   71.36 American by 12 86%   71.22 59.27 58.05 American 58 - 50 73%
29 Lafayette Home Win 59 - 54   23 - 6 14 - 0 W15 10-0   70.58 American by 17 93%   70.44 59.01 58.56 American 63 - 46 90%
30 Holy Cross Home Loss 52 - 67   23 - 7 14 - 0 L1 9-1   69.04 American by 8 79%   68.99 58.36 59.37 American 64 - 56 75%
31 Villanova Road Loss 39 - 58   23 - 8 14 - 0 L2 8-2   68.62 Villanova by 13 12%   68.51 57.59 59.08 Villanova 64 - 45 9%
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© Omni Rankings
American Micro equitable statistics
Offensive statistics American D-I rank
Points per game 57.59 267
Points per possession 0.8805 217
Possessions per game 65.40 298
Field goal % 37.94% 201
Effective field goal % 42.71% 188
2-point field goal % 41.31% 189
3-point field goal % 30.52% 182
3-point field goal attempt emphasis 31.21% 91
Free throw % 66.69% 243
Free throw attempts per possession 0.2288 275
Free throw attempts per field goal attempt 0.2752 266
Offensive rebound % (per available rebound) 35.22% 147
Assist % (per field goal) 57.40% 143
Assists per turnover 0.6949 210
Turnover % (per possession) 26.21% 252
Steals against % (per possession) 13.01% 229
Blocks against % (per field goal attempt) 5.46% 165
Defensive statistics American D-I rank
Points allowed per game 59.08 121
Points allowed per possession 0.9033 159
Field goal % allowed 40.38% 244
Effective field goal % allowed 44.68% 252
2-point field goal % allowed 42.03% 168
3-point field goal % allowed 35.25% 328
Free throw attempts allowed per possession 0.2370 113
Free throw attempts allowed per field goal attempt 0.2925 130
Defensive rebound % (per available rebound) 63.14% 245
Assists allowed per turnover forced 0.6867 134
Forced turnover % (per possession) 27.18% 58
Steal % (per possession) 14.96% 40
Block % (per field goal attempt) 6.34% 109