Omni Rankings™ 2011-2012 Women's college basketball through 4/3/12 games Big West Macro page Big West Micro page
Cal Poly 12-13 11-12 10-11 09-10
Cal Poly schedule Macro rating: 76.08 (D-I #93)    Micro rating: 76.51 (D-I #101) Macro projected season record: 17 - 15 overall, 12 - 4 Big West    Micro projected season record: 17 - 15 overall, 12 - 4 Big West
Overall Conf Macro ratings and projections Micro ratings and projections
Game D-I opponent Site Result Score record record Streak Last 10 Rating Projection (correct/incorrect winner) Cal Poly win probability Rating Offense Defense Projection (correct/incorrect winner) Cal Poly win probability
1 Oregon Road Loss 93 - 102   0 - 1 0 - 0 L1     70.09       70.64 73.13 72.49    
2 San Francisco Road Win 82 - 66   1 - 1 0 - 0 W1     70.15       70.26 69.51 69.25    
3 Fresno State Home Loss 76 - 79   1 - 2 0 - 0 L1     69.97       69.99 68.53 68.55    
4 Austin Peay Home Win 79 - 69   2 - 2 0 - 0 W1     72.14       71.43 73.60 72.17    
5 San Jose State Home Win 71 - 55   3 - 2 0 - 0 W2     71.33 Cal Poly by 24 98%   70.89 72.35 71.46 Cal Poly 89 - 59 98%
6 Pepperdine Home Loss 78 - 80   3 - 3 0 - 0 L1     70.71 Cal Poly by 4 64%   70.01 73.39 73.39 Cal Poly 69 - 66 57%
7 Saint Mary's Road Loss 62 - 65   3 - 4 0 - 0 L2     70.56 Saint Mary's by 2 43%   70.62 72.30 71.68 Saint Mary's 77 - 72 33%
8 Sacred Heart Road Loss 69 - 89   3 - 5 0 - 0 L3     69.47 Sacred Heart by 9 19%   70.11 73.16 73.04 Sacred Heart 74 - 62 18%
9 LIU Brooklyn Road Loss 61 - 69   3 - 6 0 - 0 L4     69.31 LIU Brooklyn by 6 27%   70.09 72.70 72.61 LIU Brooklyn 73 - 66 28%
10 San Diego Road Loss 52 - 69   3 - 7 0 - 0 L5 3-7   68.49 San Diego by 8 22%   69.20 71.44 72.24 San Diego 76 - 64 18%
11 Loyola Marymount Road Loss 72 - 73   3 - 8 0 - 0 L6 3-7   67.91 Cal Poly by 6 71%   67.93 70.90 72.97 Cal Poly 73 - 64 77%
12 San Diego State Road Loss 78 - 79   3 - 9 0 - 0 L7 2-8   68.93 San Diego State by 13 11%   69.13 72.52 73.39 San Diego State 77 - 58 8%
13 UC Santa Barbara Home Win 61 - 58   4 - 9 1 - 0 W1 3-7   69.13 Cal Poly by 1 52%   69.22 72.27 73.06 Cal Poly 64 - 60 62%
14 Cal State Fullerton Road Win 76 - 69   5 - 9 2 - 0 W2 3-7   70.07 Cal State Fullerton by 5 31%   70.18 72.91 72.74 Cal State Fullerton 75 - 67 26%
15 UC Riverside Home Win 71 - 43   6 - 9 3 - 0 W3 3-7   71.40 Cal Poly by 10 83%   71.36 72.63 71.26 Cal Poly 75 - 62 84%
16 UC Irvine Home Loss 60 - 62   6 - 10 3 - 1 L1 3-7   70.57 Cal Poly by 9 80%   70.25 71.36 71.11 Cal Poly 79 - 64 87%
17 Cal State Northridge Road Loss 77 - 79   6 - 11 3 - 2 L2 3-7   70.59 Cal State Northridge by 2 42%   70.23 72.07 71.83 Cal State Northridge 71 - 67 35%
18 Long Beach State Road Loss 67 - 74   6 - 12 3 - 3 L3 3-7   69.79 Cal Poly by 4 65%   69.48 71.59 72.11 Cal Poly 72 - 68 62%
19 Pacific Home Win 74 - 64   7 - 12 4 - 3 W1 4-6   70.44 Cal Poly by 1 54%   70.15 71.45 71.30 Cal Poly 77 - 74 57%
20 UC Davis Home Win 87 - 65   8 - 12 5 - 3 W2 5-5   71.88 Cal Poly by 1 54%   71.50 72.73 71.23 Cal Poly 71 - 68 61%
21 UC Santa Barbara Road Win 67 - 52   9 - 12 6 - 3 W3 6-4   73.00 UC Santa Barbara by 1 47%   72.51 73.19 70.69 UC Santa Barbara 58 - 58 49%
22 CSU Bakersfield Road Win 95 - 78   10 - 12 6 - 3 W4 7-3   73.63 Cal Poly by 8 78%   73.11 73.94 70.84 Cal Poly 84 - 81 60%
23 Cal State Fullerton Home Win 66 - 48   11 - 12 7 - 3 W5 7-3   74.33 Cal Poly by 8 78%   73.65 73.45 69.81 Cal Poly 75 - 65 77%
24 UC Irvine Road Win 76 - 63   12 - 12 8 - 3 W6 7-3   74.78 Cal Poly by 6 74%   74.37 73.43 69.06 Cal Poly 76 - 72 63%
25 UC Riverside Road Win 69 - 47   13 - 12 9 - 3 W7 7-3   75.53 Cal Poly by 11 85%   76.99 73.27 66.28 Cal Poly 72 - 62 79%
26 Long Beach State Home Win 68 - 41   14 - 12 10 - 3 W8 8-2   76.40 Cal Poly by 14 91%   77.29 72.41 65.12 Cal Poly 80 - 60 93%
27 Cal State Northridge Home Win 70 - 56   15 - 12 11 - 3 W9 9-1   76.68 Cal Poly by 10 83%   77.63 72.42 64.79 Cal Poly 73 - 60 85%
28 UC Davis Road Loss 61 - 65   15 - 13 11 - 4 L1 9-1   76.17 Cal Poly by 3 63%   77.05 71.90 64.86 Cal Poly 68 - 65 59%
29 Pacific Road Win 88 - 66   16 - 13 12 - 4 W1 9-1   77.67 Pacific by 0 50%   78.78 73.18 64.40 Pacific 71 - 70 44%
30 Cal State Fullerton Home Win 71 - 53   17 - 13 12 - 4 W2 9-1   78.01 Cal Poly by 13 88%   79.09 73.16 64.07 Cal Poly 72 - 56 89%
31 Long Beach State Neutral Loss 48 - 51   17 - 14 12 - 4 L1 8-2   76.86 Cal Poly by 14 90%   77.63 71.19 63.56 Cal Poly 75 - 59 89%
32 Washington Road Loss 71 - 90   17 - 15 12 - 4 L2 7-3   76.08 Washington by 8 23%   76.51 71.38 64.87 Washington 70 - 60 22%
33                                    
34                                    
35                                    
36                                    
37                                    
38                                    
39                                    
40                                    
41                                    
42                                    
43                                    
44                                    
© Omni Rankings
Cal Poly Micro equitable statistics
Offensive statistics Cal Poly D-I rank
Points per game 71.38 58
Points per possession 1.0215 57
Possessions per game 69.87 135
Field goal % 43.49% 50
Effective field goal % 48.09% 51
2-point field goal % 46.19% 67
3-point field goal % 35.70% 33
3-point field goal attempt emphasis 25.74% 198
Free throw % 70.82% 150
Free throw attempts per possession 0.2439 221
Free throw attempts per field goal attempt 0.2823 254
Offensive rebound % (per available rebound) 32.82% 213
Assist % (per field goal) 61.30% 66
Assists per turnover 1.1570 20
Turnover % (per possession) 20.02% 30
Steals against % (per possession) 10.64% 81
Blocks against % (per field goal attempt) 5.31% 150
Defensive statistics Cal Poly D-I rank
Points allowed per game 64.87 216
Points allowed per possession 0.9284 206
Field goal % allowed 39.08% 183
Effective field goal % allowed 43.33% 190
2-point field goal % allowed 41.68% 159
3-point field goal % allowed 31.92% 249
Free throw attempts allowed per possession 0.2350 107
Free throw attempts allowed per field goal attempt 0.2716 82
Defensive rebound % (per available rebound) 65.27% 170
Assists allowed per turnover forced 0.8469 252
Forced turnover % (per possession) 22.02% 269
Steal % (per possession) 10.74% 232
Block % (per field goal attempt) 3.69% 279