Omni Rankings 2011-2012 Women's college basketball through 4/3/12 games Big Ten Macro page Big Ten Micro page
Illinois 12-13 11-12 10-11 09-10
Illinois schedule Macro rating: 76.54 (D-I #91)    Micro rating: 79.92 (D-I #82) Macro projected season record: 11 - 19 overall, 5 - 11 Big Ten    Micro projected season record: 11 - 19 overall, 5 - 11 Big Ten
Overall Conf Macro ratings and projections Micro ratings and projections
Game D-I opponent Site Result Score record record Streak Last 10 Rating Projection (correct/incorrect winner) Illinois win probability Rating Offense Defense Projection (correct/incorrect winner) Illinois win probability
1 South Carolina Home Loss 52 - 71   0 - 1 0 - 0 L1     72.48       74.91 67.02 62.12    
2 Cleveland State Road Win 72 - 42   1 - 1 0 - 0 W1     76.72       78.87 67.71 58.83    
3 Memphis Home Win 62 - 54   2 - 1 0 - 0 W2     76.54       78.62 67.50 58.88    
4 Oregon Road Loss 74 - 77   2 - 2 0 - 0 L1     77.14       78.13 66.14 58.01    
5 California Road Loss 56 - 80   2 - 3 0 - 0 L2     75.38       74.84 64.51 59.67    
6 Green Bay Neutral Loss 62 - 82   2 - 4 0 - 0 L3     74.78       74.82 65.49 60.66    
7 Arizona State Neutral Loss 50 - 51   2 - 5 0 - 0 L4     75.51       75.35 64.94 59.58    
8 Clemson Road Win 61 - 50   3 - 5 0 - 0 W1     76.32 Illinois by 3 62%   75.21 63.46 58.25 Illinois 62 - 61 56%
9 Illinois State Road Win 66 - 56   4 - 5 0 - 0 W2     77.55 Illinois State by 3 40%   75.83 63.41 57.58 Illinois State 67 - 62 35%
10 Texas Tech Home Loss 64 - 70   4 - 6 0 - 0 L1 4-6   78.09 Texas Tech by 12 13%   76.87 64.51 57.65 Texas Tech 67 - 56 19%
11 Montana State Neutral Win 68 - 56   5 - 6 0 - 0 W1 5-5   78.78 Illinois by 4 66%   77.81 64.99 57.18 Illinois 66 - 62 64%
12 Dayton Neutral Loss 66 - 80   5 - 7 0 - 0 L1 4-6   77.94 Dayton by 4 34%   77.12 65.41 58.29 Dayton 66 - 63 38%
13 Alabama A&M Home Win 83 - 65   6 - 7 0 - 0 W1 4-6   78.37 Illinois by 13 88%   77.45 66.53 59.09 Illinois 69 - 55 85%
14 Michigan Home Loss 50 - 70   6 - 8 0 - 1 L1 4-6   77.11 Michigan by 4 36%   76.71 66.36 59.65 Michigan 62 - 58 36%
15 Purdue Home Loss 63 - 64   6 - 9 0 - 2 L2 4-6   77.30 Purdue by 4 36%   76.96 67.08 60.11 Purdue 58 - 53 35%
16 Iowa Road Loss 62 - 69 OT 6 - 10 0 - 3 L3 4-6   77.96 Iowa by 9 20%   76.97 65.89 58.93 Iowa 79 - 64 13%
17 Wisconsin Home Loss 67 - 70   6 - 11 0 - 4 L4 4-6   76.98 Illinois by 10 83%   76.48 66.55 60.07 Illinois 62 - 53 75%
18 Northwestern Road Loss 58 - 59   6 - 12 0 - 5 L5 3-7   77.25 Northwestern by 5 33%   77.00 66.32 59.32 Northwestern 71 - 59 18%
19 Penn State Home Loss 65 - 71   6 - 13 0 - 6 L6 2-8   77.55 Penn State by 10 17%   77.46 66.41 58.95 Penn State 74 - 63 21%
20 Ohio State Road Loss 84 - 96   6 - 14 0 - 7 L7 2-8   77.82 Ohio State by 16 8%   78.10 68.04 59.93 Ohio State 80 - 58 6%
21 Michigan State Road Win 71 - 62 OT 7 - 14 1 - 7 W1 2-8   78.38 Michigan State by 8 23%   79.89 69.00 59.10 Michigan State 67 - 53 14%
22 Nebraska Home Loss 47 - 67   7 - 15 1 - 8 L1 2-8   77.07 Nebraska by 2 43%   79.10 67.95 58.85 Nebraska 66 - 65 45%
23 Minnesota Home Win 72 - 67   8 - 15 2 - 8 W1 2-8   77.39 Illinois by 0 52%   79.15 68.30 59.15 Illinois 66 - 62 62%
24 Purdue Road Loss 66 - 77   8 - 16 2 - 9 L1 2-8   77.32 Purdue by 10 17%   79.34 69.29 59.95 Purdue 67 - 52 14%
25 Ohio State Home Win 66 - 65   9 - 16 3 - 9 W1 3-7   77.94 Ohio State by 8 21%   79.75 69.10 59.35 Ohio State 74 - 68 32%
26 Indiana Road Win 61 - 60   10 - 16 4 - 9 W2 4-6   77.50 Illinois by 7 76%   79.23 68.51 59.28 Illinois 66 - 60 69%
27 Minnesota Road Loss 53 - 60   10 - 17 4 - 10 L1 4-6   77.36 Minnesota by 5 31%   79.58 68.15 58.57 Minnesota 68 - 61 28%
28 Northwestern Home Win 69 - 57   11 - 17 5 - 10 W1 5-5   77.96 Illinois by 3 63%   80.61 68.46 57.85 Illinois 68 - 62 66%
29 Wisconsin Road Loss 60 - 72   11 - 18 5 - 11 L1 5-5   77.15 Wisconsin by 0 50%   80.36 68.69 58.33 Wisconsin 61 - 59 45%
30 Michigan Neutral Loss 53 - 68   11 - 19 5 - 11 L2 5-5   76.54 Michigan by 6 29%   79.92 68.45 58.52 Michigan 63 - 58 35%
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© Omni Rankings
Illinois Micro equitable statistics
Offensive statistics Illinois D-I rank
Points per game 68.45 84
Points per possession 0.9786 96
Possessions per game 69.95 128
Field goal % 43.63% 44
Effective field goal % 46.96% 73
2-point field goal % 46.18% 68
3-point field goal % 33.39% 90
3-point field goal attempt emphasis 19.95% 297
Free throw % 72.36% 104
Free throw attempts per possession 0.2857 78
Free throw attempts per field goal attempt 0.3538 63
Offensive rebound % (per available rebound) 36.71% 108
Assist % (per field goal) 56.75% 155
Assists per turnover 0.7959 145
Turnover % (per possession) 25.21% 217
Steals against % (per possession) 12.32% 183
Blocks against % (per field goal attempt) 3.90% 44
Defensive statistics Illinois D-I rank
Points allowed per game 58.52 110
Points allowed per possession 0.8367 80
Field goal % allowed 37.34% 114
Effective field goal % allowed 40.85% 104
2-point field goal % allowed 39.99% 112
3-point field goal % allowed 29.03% 129
Free throw attempts allowed per possession 0.2684 223
Free throw attempts allowed per field goal attempt 0.3437 260
Defensive rebound % (per available rebound) 65.64% 157
Assists allowed per turnover forced 0.4623 19
Forced turnover % (per possession) 27.46% 50
Steal % (per possession) 14.35% 57
Block % (per field goal attempt) 9.60% 21