Omni Rankings™ 2011-2012 Women's college basketball through 4/3/12 games Big Ten Macro page Big Ten Micro page
Michigan State 12-13 11-12 10-11 09-10
Michigan State schedule Macro rating: 84.99 (D-I #43)    Micro rating: 88.94 (D-I #35) Macro projected season record: 20 - 12 overall, 11 - 5 Big Ten    Micro projected season record: 20 - 12 overall, 11 - 5 Big Ten
Overall Conf Macro ratings and projections Micro ratings and projections
Game D-I opponent Site Result Score record record Streak Last 10 Rating Projection (correct/incorrect winner) Michigan State win probability Rating Offense Defense Projection (correct/incorrect winner) Michigan State win probability
1 Villanova Neutral Loss 64 - 75   0 - 1 0 - 0 L1     84.40       89.54 75.76 56.21    
2 North Carolina A&T Neutral Win 113 - 60   1 - 1 0 - 0 W1     89.03       94.08 74.33 50.25    
3 IPFW Home Win 62 - 56   2 - 1 0 - 0 W2     89.81       94.10 72.80 48.69    
4 Western Michigan Home Win 80 - 45   3 - 1 0 - 0 W3     84.82       91.13 76.34 55.21    
5 FGCU Road Loss 58 - 59   3 - 2 0 - 0 L1     84.00       89.83 74.47 54.64    
6 Milwaukee Road Win 70 - 57   4 - 2 0 - 0 W1     83.89       89.42 74.10 54.68    
7 Oakland Home Win 67 - 42   5 - 2 0 - 0 W2     84.72       90.39 73.08 52.69    
8 Miami (FL) Home Loss 60 - 76   5 - 3 0 - 0 L1     83.46 Miami (FL) by 4 35%   89.74 72.65 52.92 Miami (FL) 73 - 68 35%
9 Eastern Michigan Home Win 60 - 59 OT 6 - 3 0 - 0 W1     82.45 Michigan State by 10 83%   88.30 71.16 52.86 Michigan State 68 - 51 90%
10 Detroit Home Win 64 - 41   7 - 3 0 - 0 W2 7-3   83.04 Michigan State by 17 93%   87.97 70.14 52.16 Michigan State 74 - 49 96%
11 Texas Road Loss 53 - 61   7 - 4 0 - 0 L1 7-3   83.01 Texas by 8 23%   87.94 69.46 51.52 Texas 65 - 60 34%
12 Colorado State Neutral Win 72 - 45   8 - 4 0 - 0 W1 7-3   84.30 Michigan State by 12 86%   88.90 70.04 51.15 Michigan State 66 - 52 85%
13 Pittsburgh Neutral Loss 54 - 64   8 - 5 0 - 0 L1 6-4   82.35 Michigan State by 14 90%   86.97 68.69 51.72 Michigan State 72 - 53 92%
14 Indiana Road Win 63 - 49   9 - 5 1 - 0 W1 6-4   82.70 Michigan State by 10 82%   87.37 68.62 51.25 Michigan State 65 - 53 81%
15 Michigan Home Win 60 - 55   10 - 5 2 - 0 W2 7-3   83.12 Michigan by 1 47%   87.23 68.63 51.39 Michigan State 59 - 54 64%
16 Penn State Road Win 75 - 65   11 - 5 3 - 0 W3 7-3   84.63 Penn State by 10 17%   88.87 70.10 51.23 Penn State 69 - 59 21%
17 Indiana Home Win 67 - 47   12 - 5 4 - 0 W4 7-3   84.70 Michigan State by 19 95%   88.85 69.92 51.07 Michigan State 72 - 46 97%
18 Ohio State Home Loss 56 - 64   12 - 6 4 - 1 L1 7-3   84.28 Ohio State by 2 41%   88.53 69.21 50.68 Michigan State 68 - 65 60%
19 Minnesota Road Loss 65 - 71   12 - 7 4 - 2 L2 6-4   83.74 Michigan State by 2 56%   88.91 69.33 50.42 Michigan State 61 - 58 59%
20 Purdue Road Loss 49 - 67   12 - 8 4 - 3 L3 5-5   82.79 Purdue by 4 34%   88.08 69.11 51.03 Purdue 57 - 53 38%
21 Illinois Home Loss 62 - 71 OT 12 - 9 4 - 4 L4 5-5   82.23 Michigan State by 8 77%   86.36 68.13 51.77 Michigan State 67 - 53 86%
22 Penn State Home Win 83 - 77   13 - 9 5 - 4 W1 5-5   83.15 Penn State by 7 26%   87.00 69.40 52.40 Penn State 65 - 64 47%
23 Michigan Road Win 65 - 63   14 - 9 6 - 4 W2 6-4   83.55 Michigan by 4 36%   87.32 69.86 52.54 Michigan 60 - 56 39%
24 Northwestern Home Win 72 - 58   15 - 9 7 - 4 W3 6-4   83.79 Michigan State by 10 84%   87.34 70.23 52.88 Michigan State 71 - 56 86%
25 Iowa Road Loss 57 - 74   15 - 10 7 - 5 L1 5-5   82.86 Iowa by 3 38%   86.58 69.62 53.04 Iowa 67 - 63 38%
26 Wisconsin Road Win 62 - 46   16 - 10 8 - 5 W1 5-5   83.74 Michigan State by 3 63%   87.05 69.48 52.43 Michigan State 59 - 56 58%
27 Purdue Home Win 67 - 52 OT 17 - 10 9 - 5 W2 5-5   83.55 Michigan State by 3 60%   88.10 69.63 51.52 Michigan State 61 - 55 68%
28 Nebraska Home Win 73 - 53   18 - 10 10 - 5 W3 6-4   84.60 Michigan State by 5 68%   89.02 70.28 51.25 Michigan State 65 - 55 78%
29 Northwestern Road Win 76 - 57   19 - 10 11 - 5 W4 7-3   85.55 Michigan State by 5 69%   89.87 71.09 51.21 Michigan State 64 - 60 63%
30 Indiana Neutral Win 97 - 68   20 - 10 11 - 5 W5 8-2   86.31 Michigan State by 17 94%   90.69 73.08 52.39 Michigan State 71 - 50 93%
31 Purdue Neutral Loss 64 - 73   20 - 11 11 - 5 L1 8-2   85.66 Michigan State by 0 52%   90.14 73.36 53.21 Michigan State 62 - 59 59%
32 Louisville Neutral Loss 55 - 67   20 - 12 11 - 5 L2 7-3   84.99 Louisville by 2 41%   88.94 72.27 53.33 Louisville 63 - 61 45%
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© Omni Rankings
Michigan State Micro equitable statistics
Offensive statistics Michigan State D-I rank
Points per game 72.27 50
Points per possession 1.0806 26
Possessions per game 66.88 256
Field goal % 45.76% 20
Effective field goal % 50.74% 23
2-point field goal % 50.34% 19
3-point field goal % 34.48% 60
3-point field goal attempt emphasis 28.84% 142
Free throw % 65.00% 277
Free throw attempts per possession 0.2782 99
Free throw attempts per field goal attempt 0.3205 137
Offensive rebound % (per available rebound) 39.90% 48
Assist % (per field goal) 59.87% 93
Assists per turnover 1.1014 28
Turnover % (per possession) 21.65% 69
Steals against % (per possession) 10.84% 87
Blocks against % (per field goal attempt) 3.93% 46
Defensive statistics Michigan State D-I rank
Points allowed per game 53.33 33
Points allowed per possession 0.7974 48
Field goal % allowed 34.81% 52
Effective field goal % allowed 38.72% 56
2-point field goal % allowed 36.92% 44
3-point field goal % allowed 29.07% 132
Free throw attempts allowed per possession 0.2544 175
Free throw attempts allowed per field goal attempt 0.3247 220
Defensive rebound % (per available rebound) 71.86% 15
Assists allowed per turnover forced 0.4869 28
Forced turnover % (per possession) 25.36% 110
Steal % (per possession) 13.91% 68
Block % (per field goal attempt) 4.60% 228