Omni Rankings™ 2011-2012 Women's college basketball through 4/3/12 games ACC Macro page ACC Micro page
North Carolina 12-13 11-12 10-11 09-10
North Carolina schedule Macro rating: 84.81 (D-I #45)    Micro rating: 88.60 (D-I #39) Macro projected season record: 20 - 11 overall, 9 - 7 ACC    Micro projected season record: 20 - 11 overall, 9 - 7 ACC
Overall Conf Macro ratings and projections Micro ratings and projections
Game D-I opponent Site Result Score record record Streak Last 10 Rating Projection (correct/incorrect winner) North Carolina win probability Rating Offense Defense Projection (correct/incorrect winner) North Carolina win probability
1 Gardner-Webb Home Win 109 - 44   1 - 0 0 - 0 W1     90.14       101.82 87.80 55.98    
2 USC Upstate Home Win 91 - 34   2 - 0 0 - 0 W2     91.12       98.14 84.22 56.08    
3 UNCG Home Win 91 - 35   3 - 0 0 - 0 W3     91.38       97.74 84.09 56.35    
4 Presbyterian Home Win 61 - 38   4 - 0 0 - 0 W4     88.93       97.03 80.10 53.07    
5 Kennesaw State Home Win 76 - 62   5 - 0 0 - 0 W5     87.45 North Carolina by 28 99%   94.65 79.15 54.49 North Carolina 93 - 46 100%
6 Penn State Road Loss 84 - 103   5 - 1 0 - 0 L1     85.95 Penn State by 5 31%   93.62 81.52 57.90 Penn State 69 - 68 47%
7 Lipscomb Home Win 95 - 53   6 - 1 0 - 0 W1     85.95 North Carolina by 37 100%   93.07 81.85 58.78 North Carolina 96 - 48 100%
8 ETSU Home Win 93 - 77   7 - 1 0 - 0 W2     84.71 North Carolina by 28 99%   90.92 81.90 60.98 North Carolina 98 - 51 100%
9 South Carolina Neutral Loss 48 - 79   7 - 2 0 - 0 L1     81.93 South Carolina by 1 48%   87.32 80.30 62.98 South Carolina 60 - 59 46%
10 East Carolina Neutral Win 65 - 61   8 - 2 0 - 0 W1 8-2   80.96 North Carolina by 15 91%   85.35 78.62 63.27 North Carolina 79 - 59 93%
11 Savannah State Home Win 74 - 21   9 - 2 0 - 0 W2 8-2   81.48 North Carolina by 23 97%   89.80 78.67 58.87 North Carolina 77 - 44 98%
12 North Carolina Central Home Win 79 - 42   10 - 2 0 - 0 W3 8-2   81.53 North Carolina by 36 100%   88.75 77.79 59.05 North Carolina 95 - 39 100%
13 Miami (FL) Home Win 65 - 63   11 - 2 1 - 0 W4 8-2   82.24 Miami (FL) by 7 26%   89.88 77.72 57.84 Miami (FL) 77 - 72 33%
14 Virginia Road Win 78 - 73 2OT 12 - 2 2 - 0 W5 8-2   82.82 Virginia by 7 24%   90.92 78.10 57.18 Virginia 67 - 58 23%
15 Maryland Home Loss 72 - 78 OT 12 - 3 2 - 1 L1 7-3   83.51 Maryland by 9 19%   90.71 77.45 56.74 Maryland 77 - 73 39%
16 Clemson Home Loss 47 - 52   12 - 4 2 - 2 L2 7-3   81.58 North Carolina by 21 96%   88.12 75.05 56.93 North Carolina 81 - 47 99%
17 Connecticut Road Loss 35 - 86   12 - 5 2 - 2 L3 6-4   81.49 Connecticut by 28 1%   86.61 73.65 57.04 Connecticut 84 - 48 1%
18 Virginia Tech Road Win 56 - 37   13 - 5 3 - 2 W1 6-4   82.23 North Carolina by 9 80%   86.47 72.74 56.27 North Carolina 59 - 49 77%
19 NC State Road Win 60 - 50   14 - 5 4 - 2 W2 7-3   83.33 NC State by 5 30%   87.49 72.36 54.87 NC State 73 - 65 27%
20 Boston College Home Win 77 - 46   15 - 5 5 - 2 W3 7-3   84.35 North Carolina by 14 90%   88.13 72.45 54.32 North Carolina 73 - 54 91%
21 Wake Forest Road Win 75 - 71   16 - 5 6 - 2 W4 7-3   84.56 North Carolina by 1 54%   88.25 72.84 54.59 Wake Forest 66 - 65 48%
22 Virginia Home Win 64 - 56   17 - 5 7 - 2 W5 7-3   84.97 North Carolina by 2 59%   88.88 73.40 54.52 North Carolina 58 - 55 61%
23 Duke Road Loss 56 - 96   17 - 6 7 - 3 L1 6-4   83.99 Duke by 15 8%   87.73 73.86 56.13 Duke 74 - 51 5%
24 Miami (FL) Road Loss 37 - 61   17 - 7 7 - 4 L2 5-5   83.20 Miami (FL) by 12 12%   86.94 72.13 55.19 Miami (FL) 76 - 57 8%
25 Georgia Tech Home Loss 54 - 56   17 - 8 7 - 5 L3 5-5   83.16 Georgia Tech by 1 44%   86.76 71.55 54.79 North Carolina 63 - 62 55%
26 Florida State Road Win 71 - 66   18 - 8 8 - 5 W1 6-4   83.75 Florida State by 3 37%   87.69 72.22 54.53 Florida State 67 - 60 29%
27 NC State Home Win 68 - 59   19 - 8 9 - 5 W2 7-3   84.04 North Carolina by 5 68%   88.17 72.49 54.32 North Carolina 69 - 60 76%
28 Maryland Road Loss 64 - 84   19 - 9 9 - 6 L1 6-4   83.54 Maryland by 13 12%   87.93 72.67 54.74 Maryland 77 - 61 11%
29 Duke Home Loss 63 - 69   19 - 10 9 - 7 L2 5-5   83.82 Duke by 10 17%   87.92 73.09 55.17 Duke 66 - 56 22%
30 Clemson Neutral Win 90 - 51   20 - 10 9 - 7 W1 5-5   84.66 North Carolina by 16 93%   88.76 74.06 55.30 North Carolina 69 - 49 93%
31 Georgia Tech Neutral Loss 53 - 54   20 - 11 9 - 7 L1 4-6   84.81 Georgia Tech by 3 38%   88.60 73.10 54.50 Georgia Tech 65 - 63 41%
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© Omni Rankings
North Carolina Micro equitable statistics
Offensive statistics North Carolina D-I rank
Points per game 73.10 43
Points per possession 1.0076 67
Possessions per game 72.55 41
Field goal % 43.72% 40
Effective field goal % 47.46% 60
2-point field goal % 45.98% 71
3-point field goal % 35.31% 42
3-point field goal attempt emphasis 21.22% 281
Free throw % 63.18% 309
Free throw attempts per possession 0.2962 50
Free throw attempts per field goal attempt 0.3489 72
Offensive rebound % (per available rebound) 42.32% 23
Assist % (per field goal) 57.92% 129
Assists per turnover 0.8807 90
Turnover % (per possession) 24.64% 189
Steals against % (per possession) 11.99% 161
Blocks against % (per field goal attempt) 3.12% 14
Defensive statistics North Carolina D-I rank
Points allowed per game 54.50 51
Points allowed per possession 0.7513 18
Field goal % allowed 33.01% 27
Effective field goal % allowed 37.78% 40
2-point field goal % allowed 34.42% 17
3-point field goal % allowed 29.99% 171
Free throw attempts allowed per possession 0.1946 12
Free throw attempts allowed per field goal attempt 0.2451 37
Defensive rebound % (per available rebound) 69.04% 62
Assists allowed per turnover forced 0.4719 24
Forced turnover % (per possession) 28.45% 34
Steal % (per possession) 15.65% 28
Block % (per field goal attempt) 10.36% 9