Omni Rankings™ 2011-2012 Women's college basketball through 4/3/12 games Big Sky Macro page Big Sky Micro page
Northern Arizona 12-13 11-12 10-11 09-10
Northern Arizona schedule Macro rating: 61.79 (D-I #263)    Micro rating: 62.90 (D-I #252) Macro projected season record: 8 - 20 overall, 4 - 12 Big Sky    Micro projected season record: 8 - 20 overall, 4 - 12 Big Sky
Overall Conf Macro ratings and projections Micro ratings and projections
Game D-I opponent Site Result Score record record Streak Last 10 Rating Projection (correct/incorrect winner) Northern Arizona win probability Rating Offense Defense Projection (correct/incorrect winner) Northern Arizona win probability
1 Colorado Road Loss 60 - 84   0 - 1 0 - 0 L1     61.91       62.66 64.45 71.80    
2 UC Riverside Home Win 67 - 59   1 - 1 0 - 0 W1     62.54       63.36 62.74 69.38    
3 South Dakota Road Loss 56 - 73   1 - 2 0 - 0 L1     62.04       62.76 61.98 69.22    
4 Iowa State Road Loss 41 - 65   1 - 3 0 - 0 L2     63.66       62.89 62.29 69.40    
5 Utah Valley Home Win 73 - 59   2 - 3 0 - 0 W1     63.93       62.89 62.15 69.26    
6 Kent State Home Win 72 - 56   3 - 3 0 - 0 W2     64.76 Northern Arizona by 8 79%   63.56 62.40 68.84 Northern Arizona 69 - 57 82%
7 San Jose State Road Loss 64 - 74   3 - 4 0 - 0 L1     62.63 Northern Arizona by 10 82%   61.77 61.89 70.12 Northern Arizona 67 - 62 65%
8 Cal State Fullerton Home Win 64 - 54   4 - 4 0 - 0 W1     64.28 Cal State Fullerton by 6 28%   63.98 62.37 68.38 Cal State Fullerton 67 - 61 32%
9 Nebraska Home Loss 88 - 97 2OT 4 - 5 0 - 0 L1     65.80 Nebraska by 15 8%   65.32 64.01 68.69 Nebraska 76 - 55 7%
10 Utah Valley Road Loss 56 - 73   4 - 6 0 - 0 L2 4-6   63.89 Northern Arizona by 4 64%   63.08 62.84 69.76 Northern Arizona 64 - 62 56%
11 Utah State Road Loss 51 - 70   4 - 7 0 - 0 L3 4-6   62.94 Utah State by 8 22%   61.93 61.04 69.10 Utah State 78 - 67 20%
12 Sacramento State Road Loss 85 - 91 2OT 4 - 8 0 - 1 L4 3-7   62.75 Northern Arizona by 2 59%   61.39 60.10 68.72 Sacramento State 77 - 76 46%
13 Northern Colorado Road Loss 71 - 77   4 - 9 0 - 2 L5 3-7   62.77 Northern Colorado by 6 27%   61.55 61.04 69.50 Northern Colorado 64 - 56 27%
14 Portland State Home Loss 74 - 84   4 - 10 0 - 3 L6 3-7   62.28 Portland State by 4 36%   61.60 62.03 70.43 Portland State 72 - 67 35%
15 Eastern Washington Home Loss 56 - 74   4 - 11 0 - 4 L7 2-8   61.17 Eastern Washington by 3 38%   60.80 61.43 70.63 Eastern Washington 69 - 66 40%
16 Montana Road Loss 48 - 60   4 - 12 0 - 5 L8 1-9   61.11 Montana by 11 15%   60.90 61.41 70.51 Montana 66 - 52 15%
17 Montana State Road Loss 65 - 77   4 - 13 0 - 6 L9 1-9   61.23 Montana State by 14 10%   60.84 61.40 70.56 Montana State 77 - 60 11%
18 Weber State Home Win 71 - 58   5 - 13 1 - 6 W1 1-9   61.80 Northern Arizona by 5 70%   61.58 61.69 70.11 Northern Arizona 70 - 65 68%
19 Idaho State Home Loss 44 - 49   5 - 14 1 - 7 L1 1-9   61.84 Idaho State by 6 30%   61.58 60.60 69.02 Idaho State 62 - 59 41%
20 Sacramento State Home Win 94 - 56   6 - 14 2 - 7 W1 2-8   63.47 Northern Arizona by 5 70%   63.70 61.69 67.99 Northern Arizona 79 - 72 69%
21 Eastern Washington Road Loss 58 - 84   6 - 15 2 - 8 L1 2-8   62.42 Eastern Washington by 11 14%   62.81 61.56 68.76 Eastern Washington 72 - 58 14%
22 Portland State Road Loss 59 - 73   6 - 16 2 - 9 L2 2-8   61.87 Portland State by 6 27%   62.11 60.89 68.78 Portland State 75 - 64 22%
23 Idaho State Road Loss 54 - 62   6 - 17 2 - 10 L3 2-8   62.14 Idaho State by 12 14%   62.36 60.78 68.42 Idaho State 65 - 53 17%
24 Weber State Road Win 85 - 82   7 - 17 3 - 10 W1 3-7   62.19 Northern Arizona by 2 59%   62.31 62.19 69.87 Weber State 65 - 65 48%
25 Montana State Home Loss 78 - 83   7 - 18 3 - 11 L1 3-7   62.13 Montana State by 4 34%   62.62 63.15 70.53 Montana State 69 - 66 41%
26 CSU Bakersfield Road Loss 77 - 86   7 - 19 3 - 11 L2 3-7   61.72 CSU Bakersfield by 3 38%   62.96 63.68 70.72 CSU Bakersfield 79 - 73 31%
27 Northern Colorado Home Loss 63 - 75   7 - 20 3 - 12 L3 3-7   61.12 Northern Colorado by 3 37%   62.52 64.04 71.52 Northern Arizona 61 - 61 51%
28 Montana Home Win 74 - 70   8 - 20 4 - 12 W1 3-7   61.79 Montana by 6 29%   62.90 65.03 72.13 Montana 63 - 60 40%
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© Omni Rankings
Northern Arizona Micro equitable statistics
Offensive statistics Northern Arizona D-I rank
Points per game 65.03 131
Points per possession 0.9047 177
Possessions per game 71.88 61
Field goal % 40.11% 125
Effective field goal % 44.72% 127
2-point field goal % 43.36% 124
3-point field goal % 32.06% 132
3-point field goal attempt emphasis 28.74% 147
Free throw % 64.77% 281
Free throw attempts per possession 0.2480 207
Free throw attempts per field goal attempt 0.3050 188
Offensive rebound % (per available rebound) 33.27% 199
Assist % (per field goal) 55.56% 187
Assists per turnover 0.7070 194
Turnover % (per possession) 25.77% 239
Steals against % (per possession) 14.14% 282
Blocks against % (per field goal attempt) 5.77% 193
Defensive statistics Northern Arizona D-I rank
Points allowed per game 72.13 315
Points allowed per possession 1.0035 310
Field goal % allowed 43.44% 324
Effective field goal % allowed 48.04% 325
2-point field goal % allowed 45.85% 301
3-point field goal % allowed 36.34% 339
Free throw attempts allowed per possession 0.3598 340
Free throw attempts allowed per field goal attempt 0.4691 343
Defensive rebound % (per available rebound) 61.47% 287
Assists allowed per turnover forced 0.7973 210
Forced turnover % (per possession) 25.63% 100
Steal % (per possession) 14.83% 43
Block % (per field goal attempt) 6.16% 122