Omni Rankings™ 2011-2012 Women's college basketball through 4/3/12 games America East Macro page America East Micro page
UMBC 12-13 11-12 10-11 09-10
UMBC schedule Macro rating: 69.80 (D-I #158)    Micro rating: 69.41 (D-I #180) Macro projected season record: 17 - 15 overall, 9 - 7 America East    Micro projected season record: 17 - 15 overall, 9 - 7 America East
Overall Conf Macro ratings and projections Micro ratings and projections
Game D-I opponent Site Result Score record record Streak Last 10 Rating Projection (correct/incorrect winner) UMBC win probability Rating Offense Defense Projection (correct/incorrect winner) UMBC win probability
1 Morgan State Home Win 72 - 50   1 - 0 0 - 0 W1     70.91       73.75 62.55 58.80    
2 Monmouth Road Win 68 - 64   2 - 0 0 - 0 W2     67.66       69.27 58.99 59.73    
3 Coppin State Road Loss 60 - 68   2 - 1 0 - 0 L1     66.68       68.05 57.90 59.85    
4 Maryland Home Loss 59 - 70   2 - 2 0 - 0 L2     70.00       72.23 63.76 61.54    
5 Loyola (MD) Road Win 60 - 56   3 - 2 0 - 0 W1     70.35       72.84 64.08 61.24    
6 Towson Road Loss 45 - 56   3 - 3 0 - 0 L1     69.09 UMBC by 1 52%   71.37 62.48 61.11 Towson 60 - 60 47%
7 Princeton Home Loss 41 - 56   3 - 4 0 - 0 L2     68.67 Princeton by 11 15%   70.72 60.49 59.76 Princeton 66 - 55 20%
8 Maryland Eastern Shore Home Win 65 - 60   4 - 4 0 - 0 W1     68.20 UMBC by 10 82%   70.40 61.77 61.38 UMBC 55 - 44 79%
9 George Mason Home Win 65 - 53   5 - 4 0 - 0 W2     69.48 George Mason by 1 46%   71.60 62.39 60.79 UMBC 62 - 57 64%
10 Hampton Road Loss 47 - 75   5 - 5 0 - 0 L1 5-5   68.29 Hampton by 15 8%   69.49 61.69 62.20 Hampton 63 - 48 14%
11 Navy Road Win 54 - 46   6 - 5 0 - 0 W1 5-5   69.31 Navy by 4 36%   71.03 62.40 61.36 Navy 56 - 50 32%
12 High Point Neutral Loss 51 - 62   6 - 6 0 - 0 L1 4-6   68.41 High Point by 0 49%   69.55 60.72 61.17 UMBC 66 - 63 57%
13 Virginia Tech Road Loss 52 - 57   6 - 7 0 - 0 L2 4-6   68.19 Virginia Tech by 2 41%   68.64 60.39 61.76 Virginia Tech 55 - 55 50%
14 New Hampshire Home Win 67 - 65   7 - 7 1 - 0 W1 5-5   67.58 UMBC by 10 83%   68.16 60.47 62.31 UMBC 65 - 54 81%
15 Albany Road Loss 41 - 53   7 - 8 1 - 1 L1 4-6   67.11 Albany by 6 29%   67.43 59.12 61.69 Albany 59 - 53 32%
16 Maine Road Win 75 - 55   8 - 8 2 - 1 W1 5-5   67.80 UMBC by 11 85%   67.82 59.84 62.02 UMBC 63 - 51 81%
17 Stony Brook Home Win 73 - 47   9 - 8 3 - 1 W2 6-4   68.99 UMBC by 10 83%   68.38 60.97 62.59 UMBC 56 - 42 86%
18 Hartford Home Win 71 - 59   10 - 8 4 - 1 W3 6-4   69.83 UMBC by 1 53%   69.51 62.20 62.69 UMBC 55 - 52 57%
19 Binghamton Road Loss 43 - 61   10 - 9 4 - 2 L1 5-5   68.17 UMBC by 5 69%   66.76 59.90 63.14 UMBC 58 - 56 57%
20 Vermont Road Win 67 - 58   11 - 9 5 - 2 W1 6-4   68.67 UMBC by 2 57%   67.75 60.53 62.78 Vermont 61 - 58 40%
21 Boston University Home Loss 53 - 59   11 - 10 5 - 3 L1 5-5   68.37 Boston University by 2 43%   67.80 60.46 62.66 Boston University 59 - 57 43%
22 New Hampshire Road Loss 68 - 75   11 - 11 5 - 4 L2 5-5   67.66 UMBC by 3 61%   67.38 60.97 63.59 UMBC 61 - 60 53%
23 Albany Home Loss 63 - 65   11 - 12 5 - 5 L3 5-5   67.55 Albany by 0 48%   66.95 61.44 64.49 UMBC 57 - 55 55%
24 Maine Home Win 66 - 44   12 - 12 6 - 5 W1 5-5   68.02 UMBC by 15 92%   67.07 61.26 64.19 UMBC 69 - 49 92%
25 Stony Brook Road Win 63 - 51   13 - 12 7 - 5 W2 6-4   68.19 UMBC by 10 82%   67.60 61.74 64.15 UMBC 57 - 48 76%
26 Binghamton Home Win 63 - 50   14 - 12 8 - 5 W3 6-4   68.58 UMBC by 7 76%   67.77 61.88 64.12 UMBC 60 - 53 71%
27 Hartford Road Loss 54 - 66   14 - 13 8 - 6 L1 5-5   68.21 Hartford by 7 26%   67.60 62.04 64.44 Hartford 61 - 52 23%
28 Boston University Road Loss 56 - 61   14 - 14 8 - 7 L2 4-6   68.45 Boston University by 8 21%   67.92 62.02 64.10 Boston University 65 - 54 20%
29 Vermont Home Win 72 - 60   15 - 14 9 - 7 W1 5-5   68.73 UMBC by 8 77%   68.27 62.53 64.26 UMBC 66 - 58 74%
30 New Hampshire Neutral Win 59 - 57   16 - 14 9 - 7 W2 5-5   68.56 UMBC by 5 68%   68.12 62.15 64.03 UMBC 63 - 60 60%
31 Boston University Neutral Win 77 - 61   17 - 14 9 - 7 W3 6-4   69.97 Boston University by 5 32%   69.79 63.76 63.97 Boston University 62 - 56 33%
32 Albany Road Loss 61 - 69   17 - 15 9 - 7 L1 6-4   69.80 Albany by 6 30%   69.41 63.70 64.29 Albany 63 - 54 23%
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© Omni Rankings
UMBC Micro equitable statistics
Offensive statistics UMBC D-I rank
Points per game 63.70 160
Points per possession 0.9384 140
Possessions per game 67.88 213
Field goal % 40.53% 112
Effective field goal % 44.35% 137
2-point field goal % 44.21% 102
3-point field goal % 29.84% 211
3-point field goal attempt emphasis 25.61% 204
Free throw % 65.27% 272
Free throw attempts per possession 0.2546 181
Free throw attempts per field goal attempt 0.2982 207
Offensive rebound % (per available rebound) 32.65% 223
Assist % (per field goal) 56.02% 174
Assists per turnover 0.9081 76
Turnover % (per possession) 21.38% 59
Steals against % (per possession) 11.09% 96
Blocks against % (per field goal attempt) 5.10% 130
Defensive statistics UMBC D-I rank
Points allowed per game 64.29 205
Points allowed per possession 0.9471 233
Field goal % allowed 41.29% 281
Effective field goal % allowed 46.08% 289
2-point field goal % allowed 44.22% 260
3-point field goal % allowed 33.86% 308
Free throw attempts allowed per possession 0.2477 145
Free throw attempts allowed per field goal attempt 0.3011 158
Defensive rebound % (per available rebound) 64.85% 185
Assists allowed per turnover forced 0.8255 234
Forced turnover % (per possession) 24.83% 126
Steal % (per possession) 12.20% 151
Block % (per field goal attempt) 5.30% 175