Omni Rankings™ 2011-2012 Women's college basketball through 4/3/12 games Big East Macro page Big East Micro page
USF 12-13 11-12 10-11 09-10
USF schedule Macro rating: 79.13 (D-I #76)    Micro rating: 85.27 (D-I #54) Macro projected season record: 19 - 16 overall, 8 - 8 Big East    Micro projected season record: 19 - 16 overall, 8 - 8 Big East
Overall Conf Macro ratings and projections Micro ratings and projections
Game D-I opponent Site Result Score record record Streak Last 10 Rating Projection (correct/incorrect winner) USF win probability Rating Offense Defense Projection (correct/incorrect winner) USF win probability
1 Florida State Neutral Loss 49 - 62   0 - 1 0 - 0 L1     75.38       79.24 62.92 53.68    
2 Arkansas Neutral Loss 61 - 65 OT 0 - 2 0 - 0 L2     75.94       78.01 65.79 57.78    
3 Minnesota Neutral Win 60 - 52   1 - 2 0 - 0 W1     76.11       77.91 66.57 58.66    
4 North Florida Home Win 76 - 41   2 - 2 0 - 0 W2     78.43       81.50 65.00 53.50    
5 Bethune-Cookman Home Win 72 - 36   3 - 2 0 - 0 W3     78.43       82.04 65.52 53.48    
6 Central Michigan Neutral Win 86 - 80 OT 4 - 2 0 - 0 W4     78.13       82.00 65.78 53.78    
7 Miami (FL) Neutral Loss 72 - 92   4 - 3 0 - 0 L1     77.22       82.00 67.45 55.44    
8 Stetson Home Win 77 - 62   5 - 3 0 - 0 W1     77.65 USF by 11 85%   81.43 67.81 56.38 USF 73 - 54 92%
9 Idaho State Neutral Loss 63 - 76   5 - 4 0 - 0 L1     75.43 USF by 10 82%   78.48 67.55 59.07 USF 66 - 50 89%
10 Air Force Road Win 73 - 70   6 - 4 0 - 0 W1 6-4   74.63 USF by 12 86%   76.65 67.30 60.66 USF 72 - 56 88%
11 Auburn Road Loss 45 - 62   6 - 5 0 - 0 L1 6-4   73.63 Auburn by 5 30%   75.42 65.85 60.44 Auburn 63 - 56 30%
12 Maryland Eastern Shore Home Win 71 - 50   7 - 5 0 - 0 W1 7-3   74.26 USF by 14 89%   75.58 66.57 60.99 USF 63 - 47 88%
13 Dayton Neutral Loss 63 - 73   7 - 6 0 - 0 L1 6-4   74.20 Dayton by 9 19%   75.33 66.59 61.26 Dayton 72 - 64 27%
14 Saint Peter's Road Win 68 - 52   8 - 6 0 - 0 W1 6-4   74.09 USF by 17 94%   75.30 66.67 61.37 USF 65 - 49 88%
15 Cincinnati Road Win 58 - 55   9 - 6 1 - 0 W2 6-4   74.96 Cincinnati by 9 20%   76.61 67.31 60.71 Cincinnati 64 - 51 16%
16 Georgetown Home Loss 56 - 66   9 - 7 1 - 1 L1 5-5   74.81 Georgetown by 8 22%   76.71 67.74 61.02 Georgetown 62 - 52 24%
17 Louisville Road Loss 57 - 63   9 - 8 1 - 2 L2 5-5   75.63 Louisville by 17 6%   77.28 67.28 60.01 Louisville 76 - 54 6%
18 Seton Hall Road Win 68 - 49   10 - 8 2 - 2 W1 5-5   77.05 Seton Hall by 0 49%   79.51 68.39 58.88 Seton Hall 61 - 56 35%
19 DePaul Home Win 66 - 63 OT 11 - 8 3 - 2 W2 6-4   77.55 DePaul by 7 25%   80.08 67.85 57.77 DePaul 71 - 68 42%
20 Rutgers Home Loss 66 - 72   11 - 9 3 - 3 L1 5-5   77.82 Rutgers by 10 17%   80.39 68.99 58.59 Rutgers 61 - 49 18%
21 Seton Hall Home Win 57 - 45   12 - 9 4 - 3 W1 6-4   78.02 USF by 9 81%   80.53 68.72 58.19 USF 64 - 54 78%
22 Connecticut Road Loss 62 - 77   12 - 10 4 - 4 L1 5-5   79.28 Connecticut by 33 1%   82.66 69.93 57.27 Connecticut 85 - 41 0%
23 West Virginia Home Loss 52 - 55   12 - 11 4 - 5 L2 5-5   79.28 West Virginia by 3 38%   82.86 69.78 56.92 West Virginia 60 - 54 32%
24 Syracuse Road Loss 61 - 76   12 - 12 4 - 6 L3 4-6   78.58 Syracuse by 5 32%   82.57 69.97 57.41 Syracuse 69 - 62 29%
25 St. John's Road Loss 57 - 67   12 - 13 4 - 7 L4 3-7   78.62 St. John's by 11 16%   82.58 70.23 57.64 St. John's 64 - 50 15%
26 Villanova Home Win 54 - 39   13 - 13 5 - 7 W1 4-6   79.67 Villanova by 0 49%   83.53 69.93 56.40 USF 57 - 57 50%
27 Marquette Road Win 61 - 48   14 - 13 6 - 7 W2 5-5   80.61 Marquette by 0 49%   83.86 69.61 55.75 Marquette 62 - 60 45%
28 Pittsburgh Home Win 62 - 50   15 - 13 7 - 7 W3 5-5   80.54 USF by 13 89%   85.09 69.31 54.21 USF 71 - 55 89%
29 Notre Dame Road Loss 68 - 80   15 - 14 7 - 8 L1 4-6   81.41 Notre Dame by 25 2%   86.48 70.39 53.90 Notre Dame 82 - 48 1%
30 Providence Home Win 64 - 56 OT 16 - 14 8 - 8 W1 5-5   80.76 USF by 10 83%   86.34 70.19 53.84 USF 64 - 50 85%
31 Pittsburgh Neutral Win 60 - 59   17 - 14 8 - 8 W2 5-5   80.03 USF by 12 86%   85.37 69.64 54.27 USF 68 - 53 88%
32 DePaul Neutral Loss 62 - 76   17 - 15 8 - 8 L1 5-5   79.55 DePaul by 7 25%   84.75 69.30 54.54 DePaul 69 - 66 40%
33 Florida Atlantic Home Win 76 - 20   18 - 15 8 - 8 W1 6-4   80.30 USF by 18 95%   87.13 69.87 52.74 USF 70 - 46 96%
34 FIU Home Win 77 - 61   19 - 15 8 - 8 W2 7-3   80.77 USF by 9 80%   86.98 70.56 53.58 USF 66 - 49 89%
35 James Madison Road Loss 45 - 72   19 - 16 8 - 8 L1 7-3   79.13 James Madison by 2 43%   85.27 69.62 54.35 James Madison 58 - 56 46%
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© Omni Rankings
USF Micro equitable statistics
Offensive statistics USF D-I rank
Points per game 69.62 72
Points per possession 0.9765 99
Possessions per game 71.29 78
Field goal % 38.61% 178
Effective field goal % 43.04% 179
2-point field goal % 42.16% 166
3-point field goal % 30.11% 200
3-point field goal attempt emphasis 29.43% 131
Free throw % 67.95% 224
Free throw attempts per possession 0.2847 80
Free throw attempts per field goal attempt 0.3206 136
Offensive rebound % (per available rebound) 34.32% 166
Assist % (per field goal) 54.99% 201
Assists per turnover 0.9955 50
Turnover % (per possession) 18.98% 16
Steals against % (per possession) 7.77% 4
Blocks against % (per field goal attempt) 4.97% 122
Defensive statistics USF D-I rank
Points allowed per game 54.35 48
Points allowed per possession 0.7623 23
Field goal % allowed 32.71% 23
Effective field goal % allowed 35.95% 15
2-point field goal % allowed 36.27% 34
3-point field goal % allowed 23.41% 18
Free throw attempts allowed per possession 0.2929 289
Free throw attempts allowed per field goal attempt 0.3852 315
Defensive rebound % (per available rebound) 65.76% 153
Assists allowed per turnover forced 0.4847 27
Forced turnover % (per possession) 29.63% 18
Steal % (per possession) 15.99% 23
Block % (per field goal attempt) 7.25% 68