Omni Rankings 2011-2012 Women's college basketball through 4/3/12 games ACC Macro page ACC Micro page
Virginia 12-13 11-12 10-11 09-10
Virginia schedule Macro rating: 85.99 (D-I #36)    Micro rating: 89.41 (D-I #32) Macro projected season record: 25 - 11 overall, 9 - 7 ACC    Micro projected season record: 25 - 11 overall, 9 - 7 ACC
Overall Conf Macro ratings and projections Micro ratings and projections
Game D-I opponent Site Result Score record record Streak Last 10 Rating Projection (correct/incorrect winner) Virginia win probability Rating Offense Defense Projection (correct/incorrect winner) Virginia win probability
1 Appalachian State Home Win 80 - 48   1 - 0 0 - 0 W1     89.21       88.80 71.10 52.30    
2 Providence Road Win 55 - 38   2 - 0 0 - 0 W2     82.38       84.00 69.71 55.71    
3 High Point Home Win 67 - 41   3 - 0 0 - 0 W3     80.54       82.66 69.65 56.99    
4 Tennessee Home Win 69 - 64 OT 4 - 0 0 - 0 W4     92.56       92.46 69.18 46.72    
5 Texas Neutral Loss 53 - 79   4 - 1 0 - 0 L1     89.38       89.68 67.73 48.05    
6 Hawai'i Road Win 60 - 43   5 - 1 0 - 0 W1     88.15 Virginia by 28 99%   89.62 66.81 47.19 Virginia 72 - 48 95%
7 California Neutral Loss 50 - 59   5 - 2 0 - 0 L1     86.81 Virginia by 3 63%   88.92 66.50 47.58 Virginia 59 - 52 71%
8 Indiana Home Win 65 - 49   6 - 2 0 - 0 W1     86.34 Virginia by 21 96%   88.25 66.25 48.00 Virginia 70 - 43 97%
9 Richmond Road Win 69 - 56   7 - 2 0 - 0 W2     87.39 Virginia by 2 59%   89.98 67.81 47.83 Virginia 59 - 56 59%
10 Liberty Home Win 64 - 38   8 - 2 0 - 0 W3 8-2   87.97 Virginia by 20 96%   90.66 68.44 47.79 Virginia 62 - 39 95%
11 Radford Home Win 92 - 43   9 - 2 0 - 0 W4 8-2   88.33 Virginia by 25 98%   92.34 69.79 47.45 Virginia 77 - 46 98%
12 James Madison Home Win 59 - 53   10 - 2 0 - 0 W5 8-2   87.57 Virginia by 15 91%   91.03 68.89 47.85 Virginia 68 - 46 94%
13 Wagner Home Win 84 - 41   11 - 2 0 - 0 W6 8-2   87.57 Virginia by 36 100%   91.28 69.58 48.30 Virginia 78 - 35 100%
14 Massachusetts Home Win 53 - 38   12 - 2 0 - 0 W7 8-2   86.77 Virginia by 25 98%   90.08 68.36 48.28 Virginia 73 - 44 98%
15 Duke Road Loss 66 - 77   12 - 3 0 - 1 L1 8-2   86.78 Duke by 11 15%   91.18 70.10 48.91 Duke 64 - 47 10%
16 North Carolina Home Loss 73 - 78 2OT 12 - 4 0 - 2 L2 7-3   86.22 Virginia by 7 76%   90.71 69.66 48.95 Virginia 67 - 58 77%
17 Clemson Road Win 54 - 47   13 - 4 1 - 2 W1 8-2   85.39 Virginia by 18 95%   89.64 68.60 48.97 Virginia 68 - 44 95%
18 Virginia Tech Home Win 52 - 39   14 - 4 2 - 2 W2 8-2   84.96 Virginia by 19 95%   88.84 67.87 49.02 Virginia 62 - 38 96%
19 Maryland Road Loss 61 - 68   14 - 5 2 - 3 L1 7-3   85.30 Maryland by 12 13%   89.22 68.09 48.87 Maryland 70 - 57 16%
20 Miami (FL) Home Loss 53 - 56   14 - 6 2 - 4 L2 6-4   85.39 Miami (FL) by 4 34%   88.02 66.28 48.26 Miami (FL) 61 - 60 47%
21 Boston College Home Win 69 - 58   15 - 6 3 - 4 W1 6-4   84.99 Virginia by 17 93%   87.76 66.76 49.00 Virginia 66 - 47 92%
22 Georgia Tech Road Loss 53 - 63   15 - 7 3 - 5 L1 5-5   84.80 Georgia Tech by 7 24%   87.69 66.55 48.85 Georgia Tech 61 - 54 28%
23 Florida State Home Win 62 - 52   16 - 7 4 - 5 W1 5-5   85.29 Virginia by 3 62%   88.10 66.96 48.86 Virginia 59 - 53 69%
24 North Carolina Road Loss 56 - 64   16 - 8 4 - 6 L1 4-6   84.90 North Carolina by 2 41%   88.32 67.23 48.91 North Carolina 58 - 55 39%
25 NC State Road Win 55 - 47   17 - 8 5 - 6 W1 5-5   85.58 NC State by 2 41%   88.92 66.73 47.81 NC State 62 - 59 41%
26 Clemson Home Win 68 - 36   18 - 8 6 - 6 W2 6-4   86.15 Virginia by 21 96%   89.17 66.86 47.69 Virginia 66 - 41 96%
27 Maryland Home Loss 56 - 73   18 - 9 6 - 7 L1 5-5   85.22 Maryland by 4 36%   88.22 66.57 48.35 Maryland 63 - 62 47%
28 Virginia Tech Road Win 66 - 40   19 - 9 7 - 7 W1 5-5   86.21 Virginia by 12 86%   89.43 67.61 48.18 Virginia 53 - 44 76%
29 Wake Forest Home Win 61 - 55   20 - 9 8 - 7 W2 6-4   86.07 Virginia by 8 78%   89.27 67.50 48.23 Virginia 66 - 53 84%
30 Florida State Road Win 66 - 57   21 - 9 9 - 7 W3 7-3   86.74 Florida State by 1 45%   90.48 68.45 47.97 Florida State 58 - 55 42%
31 Boston College Neutral Win 72 - 41   22 - 9 9 - 7 W4 7-3   87.62 Virginia by 16 93%   91.58 68.90 47.32 Virginia 67 - 49 90%
32 Maryland Neutral Loss 58 - 70   22 - 10 9 - 7 L1 7-3   87.28 Maryland by 7 25%   91.28 68.82 47.54 Maryland 66 - 59 30%
33 Howard Home Win 59 - 56 OT 23 - 10 9 - 7 W1 7-3   86.24 Virginia by 15 92%   89.89 68.34 48.44 Virginia 60 - 41 92%
34 Richmond Home Win 68 - 55   24 - 10 9 - 7 W2 8-2   86.48 Virginia by 9 81%   89.76 68.48 48.72 Virginia 66 - 51 87%
35 Appalachian State Home Win 74 - 58   25 - 10 9 - 7 W3 8-2   86.76 Virginia by 12 86%   89.89 68.99 49.10 Virginia 70 - 50 93%
36 James Madison Road Loss 59 - 68   25 - 11 9 - 7 L1 7-3   85.99 Virginia by 2 59%   89.41 69.34 49.93 Virginia 56 - 54 57%
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© Omni Rankings
Virginia Micro equitable statistics
Offensive statistics Virginia D-I rank
Points per game 69.34 75
Points per possession 1.0561 41
Possessions per game 65.66 289
Field goal % 41.61% 87
Effective field goal % 44.92% 122
2-point field goal % 44.16% 104
3-point field goal % 31.88% 142
3-point field goal attempt emphasis 20.73% 287
Free throw % 78.28% 8
Free throw attempts per possession 0.3141 27
Free throw attempts per field goal attempt 0.3550 59
Offensive rebound % (per available rebound) 39.72% 51
Assist % (per field goal) 56.17% 170
Assists per turnover 1.0396 42
Turnover % (per possession) 19.80% 27
Steals against % (per possession) 9.12% 30
Blocks against % (per field goal attempt) 4.32% 68
Defensive statistics Virginia D-I rank
Points allowed per game 49.93 17
Points allowed per possession 0.7605 20
Field goal % allowed 34.51% 47
Effective field goal % allowed 39.92% 79
2-point field goal % allowed 39.12% 91
3-point field goal % allowed 27.43% 76
Free throw attempts allowed per possession 0.1991 15
Free throw attempts allowed per field goal attempt 0.2629 67
Defensive rebound % (per available rebound) 66.38% 137
Assists allowed per turnover forced 0.4327 12
Forced turnover % (per possession) 33.19% 4
Steal % (per possession) 20.16% 1
Block % (per field goal attempt) 5.57% 157