| Omni Rankings™ | 2025 College football | through 1/19/26 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Missouri State | |||||||||||||||||||
| C-USA page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Missouri State schedule | Rating: 72.38 (D-I #120) Projected season record: 7 - 6 overall, 5 - 3 C-USA | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Missouri State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | USC | Road | Loss | 13 - 73 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 70.36 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Marshall | Road | Win | 21 - 20 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 72.79 | |||||||||||
| 3 | SMU | Home | Loss | 10 - 28 | 1 - 2 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 71.71 | |||||||||||
| 4 | UT Martin | Home | Win | 42 - 10 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 73.38 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Western Kentucky | Home | Loss | 22 - 27 | 2 - 3 | 0 - 1 | L1 | 2-3 | 72.59 | Missouri State by 1 | 51% | ||||||||
| 6 | Middle Tennessee | Road | Win | 22 - 20 | 3 - 3 | 1 - 1 | W1 | 3-2 | 71.60 | Missouri State by 9 | 73% | ||||||||
| 7 | New Mexico State | Road | Win | 24 - 17 | OT | 4 - 3 | 2 - 1 | W2 | 3-2 | 71.60 | New Mexico State by 0 | 50% | |||||||
| 8 | FIU | Home | Win | 28 - 21 | 5 - 3 | 3 - 1 | W3 | 4-1 | 71.90 | Missouri State by 5 | 62% | ||||||||
| 9 | Liberty | Road | Win | 21 - 17 | 6 - 3 | 4 - 1 | W4 | 4-1 | 73.18 | Liberty by 7 | 32% | ||||||||
| 10 | UTEP | Home | Win | 38 - 24 | 7 - 3 | 5 - 1 | W5 | 5-0 | 74.28 | Missouri State by 4 | 61% | ||||||||
| 11 | Kennesaw State | Road | Loss | 34 - 41 | 7 - 4 | 5 - 2 | L1 | 4-1 | 74.11 | Kennesaw State by 5 | 36% | ||||||||
| 12 | Louisiana Tech | Home | Loss | 30 - 42 | 7 - 5 | 5 - 3 | L2 | 3-2 | 72.94 | Louisiana Tech by 1 | 46% | ||||||||
| 13 | Arkansas State | Neutral | Loss | 28 - 34 | 7 - 6 | 5 - 3 | L3 | 2-3 | 72.38 | Arkansas State by 1 | 48% | ||||||||
| 14 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | |||||||||||||||||||