| Omni Rankings™ | 2026 College football | through 10/3/26 games | |||||||||||||||||
| Tarleton State | |||||||||||||||||||
| UAC page | |||||||||||||||||||
| Tarleton State schedule | Rating: 72.10 (D-I #126) Projected season record: 10 - 2 overall, 5 - 2 UAC | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Tarleton State win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Prairie View A&M | Home | Win | 49 - 30 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 77.87 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Bowling Green | Road | Win | 20 - 13 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 77.63 | |||||||||||
| 3 | McNeese | Road | Win | 27 - 24 | 3 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W3 | 75.42 | |||||||||||
| 4 | Merrimack | Home | Win | 45 - 20 | 4 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W4 | 74.02 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Chicago State | Home | Win | 56 - 21 | 5 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W5 | 5-0 | 72.10 | ||||||||||
| 6 | Austin Peay | Road | 10/10/2026 | Austin Peay by 8 | 35% | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | Central Arkansas | Home | 10/17/2026 | Tarleton State by 22 | 84% | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | West Georgia | Road | 10/24/2026 | Tarleton State by 21 | 83% | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | Eastern Kentucky | Home | 10/31/2026 | Tarleton State by 25 | 87% | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | Abilene Christian | Home | 11/7/2026 | Tarleton State by 8 | 65% | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | West Florida | Road | 11/14/2026 | Tarleton State by 6 | 61% | ||||||||||||||
| 12 | North Alabama | Road | 11/21/2026 | Tarleton State by 9 | 66% | ||||||||||||||
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