| Omni Rankings™ | 2025 College football | through 1/19/26 games | |||||||||||||||||
| USF | |||||||||||||||||||
| American page | |||||||||||||||||||
| USF schedule | Rating: 92.71 (D-I #27) Projected season record: 9 - 4 overall, 6 - 2 American | ||||||||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 5 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | USF win probability | ||||||||
| 1 | Boise State | Home | Win | 34 - 7 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 93.17 | |||||||||||
| 2 | Florida | Road | Win | 18 - 16 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 93.99 | |||||||||||
| 3 | Miami (FL) | Road | Loss | 12 - 49 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 89.05 | |||||||||||
| 4 | South Carolina State | Home | Win | 63 - 14 | 3 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 90.58 | |||||||||||
| 5 | Charlotte | Home | Win | 54 - 26 | 4 - 1 | 1 - 0 | W2 | 4-1 | 89.13 | USF by 38 | 98% | ||||||||
| 6 | North Texas | Road | Win | 63 - 36 | 5 - 1 | 2 - 0 | W3 | 4-1 | 93.22 | North Texas by 3 | 42% | ||||||||
| 7 | Florida Atlantic | Home | Win | 48 - 13 | 6 - 1 | 3 - 0 | W4 | 4-1 | 94.55 | USF by 24 | 93% | ||||||||
| 8 | Memphis | Road | Loss | 31 - 34 | 6 - 2 | 3 - 1 | L1 | 4-1 | 94.04 | USF by 1 | 53% | ||||||||
| 9 | UTSA | Home | Win | 55 - 23 | 7 - 2 | 4 - 1 | W1 | 4-1 | 95.94 | USF by 15 | 84% | ||||||||
| 10 | Navy | Road | Loss | 38 - 41 | 7 - 3 | 4 - 2 | L1 | 3-2 | 93.92 | USF by 15 | 83% | ||||||||
| 11 | UAB | Road | Win | 48 - 18 | 8 - 3 | 5 - 2 | W1 | 3-2 | 94.59 | USF by 24 | 93% | ||||||||
| 12 | Rice | Home | Win | 52 - 3 | 9 - 3 | 6 - 2 | W2 | 3-2 | 95.23 | USF by 31 | 96% | ||||||||
| 13 | Old Dominion | Neutral | Loss | 10 - 24 | 9 - 4 | 6 - 2 | L1 | 3-2 | 92.71 | USF by 10 | 74% | ||||||||
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