| Omni Rankings™ | 2025-2026 Men's college basketball | through 3/3/26 games | |||||||||||
| Dayton | |||||||||||||
| A-10 page | |||||||||||||
| Dayton schedule | Rating: 78.00 (D-I #76) Projected season record: 21 - 10 overall, 12 - 6 A-10 | ||||||||||||
| Overall | Conf | Ratings and projections | |||||||||||
| Game | Division I opponent | Site | Result | Score | record | record | Streak | Last 10 | Rating | Projection (correct/incorrect winner) | Dayton win probability | ||
| 1 | Canisius | Home | Win | 88 - 48 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 79.06 | |||||
| 2 | UMBC | Home | Win | 77 - 71 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 77.00 | |||||
| 3 | Cincinnati | Road | Loss | 62 - 74 | 2 - 1 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 76.21 | |||||
| 4 | Bethune-Cookman | Home | Win | 91 - 82 | 3 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 75.43 | |||||
| 5 | Marquette | Road | Win | 77 - 71 | OT | 4 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 75.95 | Marquette by 5 | 32% | ||
| 6 | North Carolina Central | Home | Win | 74 - 55 | 5 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W3 | 75.59 | Dayton by 23 | 95% | |||
| 7 | Georgetown | Neutral | Win | 84 - 79 | OT | 6 - 1 | 0 - 0 | W4 | 75.92 | Georgetown by 3 | 39% | ||
| 8 | BYU | Neutral | Loss | 79 - 83 | 6 - 2 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 76.95 | BYU by 15 | 12% | |||
| 9 | ETSU | Home | Win | 88 - 71 | 7 - 2 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 77.77 | Dayton by 8 | 74% | |||
| 10 | Virginia | Neutral | Loss | 73 - 86 | 7 - 3 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 7-3 | 77.46 | Virginia by 9 | 22% | ||
| 11 | North Florida | Home | Win | 84 - 61 | 8 - 3 | 0 - 0 | W1 | 7-3 | 77.63 | Dayton by 21 | 94% | ||
| 12 | Florida State | Home | Win | 97 - 69 | 9 - 3 | 0 - 0 | W2 | 7-3 | 79.57 | Dayton by 3 | 59% | ||
| 13 | Liberty | Home | Loss | 61 - 64 | 9 - 4 | 0 - 0 | L1 | 7-3 | 78.86 | Dayton by 7 | 71% | ||
| 14 | Fordham | Home | Win | 63 - 56 | 10 - 4 | 1 - 0 | W1 | 7-3 | 78.24 | Dayton by 16 | 89% | ||
| 15 | Loyola Chicago | Road | Win | 70 - 68 | 11 - 4 | 2 - 0 | W2 | 7-3 | 77.60 | Dayton by 11 | 82% | ||
| 16 | George Washington | Home | Win | 79 - 72 | 12 - 4 | 3 - 0 | W3 | 7-3 | 78.05 | Dayton by 0 | 52% | ||
| 17 | Duquesne | Road | Win | 71 - 65 | 13 - 4 | 4 - 0 | W4 | 7-3 | 78.23 | Dayton by 3 | 61% | ||
| 18 | Loyola Chicago | Home | Win | 78 - 51 | 14 - 4 | 5 - 0 | W5 | 8-2 | 78.87 | Dayton by 18 | 91% | ||
| 19 | La Salle | Road | Loss | 64 - 67 | 14 - 5 | 5 - 1 | L1 | 7-3 | 78.04 | Dayton by 10 | 79% | ||
| 20 | Saint Joseph's | Road | Loss | 74 - 81 | 14 - 6 | 5 - 2 | L2 | 7-3 | 77.10 | Dayton by 8 | 74% | ||
| 21 | Rhode Island | Home | Loss | 76 - 81 | OT | 14 - 7 | 5 - 3 | L3 | 6-4 | 76.73 | Dayton by 6 | 68% | |
| 22 | Saint Louis | Road | Loss | 71 - 102 | 14 - 8 | 5 - 4 | L4 | 5-5 | 75.50 | Saint Louis by 12 | 16% | ||
| 23 | St. Bonaventure | Home | Win | 72 - 70 | 15 - 8 | 6 - 4 | W1 | 6-4 | 75.14 | Dayton by 8 | 73% | ||
| 24 | VCU | Road | Loss | 73 - 99 | 15 - 9 | 6 - 5 | L1 | 5-5 | 73.96 | VCU by 7 | 27% | ||
| 25 | Davidson | Home | Win | 70 - 59 | 16 - 9 | 7 - 5 | W1 | 5-5 | 74.54 | Dayton by 1 | 55% | ||
| 26 | George Mason | Road | Win | 82 - 67 | 17 - 9 | 8 - 5 | W2 | 5-5 | 75.65 | George Mason by 3 | 42% | ||
| 27 | Duquesne | Home | Win | 78 - 66 | 18 - 9 | 9 - 5 | W3 | 5-5 | 76.14 | Dayton by 4 | 64% | ||
| 28 | Saint Louis | Home | Win | 77 - 62 | 19 - 9 | 10 - 5 | W4 | 5-5 | 77.61 | Saint Louis by 8 | 25% | ||
| 29 | George Washington | Road | Win | 68 - 66 | 20 - 9 | 11 - 5 | W5 | 6-4 | 77.97 | George Washington by 4 | 37% | ||
| 30 | Richmond | Road | Win | 65 - 60 | 21 - 9 | 12 - 5 | W6 | 7-3 | 78.00 | Dayton by 4 | 64% | ||
| 31 | VCU | Home | 3/6/2026 | VCU by 0 | 49% | ||||||||
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| © Omni Rankings | |||||||||||||