Omni Rankings™ 2025-2026 Women's college basketball ratings through 3/3/26 games
Missouri Valley
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Women's basketball home NCAA bracket WNIT bracket
Team ratings (1-363) NCAA probabilities WNIT probabilities
#REF!
Home court factor = 2.19 Record vs D-I teams
Season range Schedule strength Overall Conference Home Road Neutral vs 1-50 vs 51-150 vs 151+
Rank Team Rating D-I rank Max Min Rating D-I rank W L W L Streak Last 10 W L W L W L W L W L W L Highest single-game rating Lowest single-game rating
1 Murray State 78.33 77 79.07 72.88 68.88 180 25 3 17 1 W10 10-0 13 0 10 3 2 0 0 2 9 1 16 0 at Bradley 90.09 vs Southern Illinois 68.15
2 Belmont 74.37 110 82.34 74.27 71.07 115 18 11 14 4 W2 7-3 11 4 7 5 0 2 0 6 6 5 12 0 vs Brown 83.35 at Murray State 68.20
3 Northern Iowa 72.70 123 75.13 68.62 70.26 137 15 13 11 7 W2 5-5 7 5 7 8 1 0 0 3 4 7 11 3 vs Murray State 81.62 at Bradley 63.87
4 Illinois State 71.24 142 78.76 70.14 67.12 236 18 11 12 6 W2 8-2 14 1 4 7 0 3 0 2 3 7 15 2 vs Indiana State 80.94 at Southern Illinois 56.30
5 Bradley 70.50 149 73.53 69.56 67.56 224 18 10 12 6 L1 7-3 11 1 6 8 1 1 0 1 4 7 14 2 vs Northern Iowa 81.94 vs Murray State 58.44
6 UIC 68.00 185 68.72 64.54 67.02 241 14 15 9 9 L1 5-5 8 6 5 9 1 0 0 1 3 7 11 7 at Ball State 75.28 vs Drake 58.78
7 Drake 66.31 207 77.22 65.55 69.51 164 10 18 9 9 W2 4-6 4 10 6 6 0 2 0 3 0 12 10 3 at UIC 75.70 vs Northern Kentucky 56.11
8 Evansville 62.03 265 62.03 54.12 67.86 211 7 22 5 13 L2 3-7 4 8 3 14 0 0 0 1 2 9 5 12 at Northern Iowa 69.42 at Eastern Kentucky 51.35
9 Southern Illinois 59.71 291 62.77 51.69 67.33 231 7 19 6 13 L6 3-7 5 7 2 10 0 2 0 0 1 11 6 8 vs Illinois State 76.20 vs Winthrop 47.49
10 Indiana State 58.71 303 69.22 57.97 67.31 232 8 20 5 14 L2 3-7 5 6 3 12 0 2 0 1 0 11 8 8 vs Eastern Illinois 71.76 vs Murray State 50.65
11 Valparaiso 46.54 357 55.54 45.24 67.98 207 0 29 0 18 L29 0-10 0 11 0 16 0 2 0 1 0 11 0 17 vs Milwaukee 54.87 at Southern Illinois 35.75
MVC top performances MVC surprise performances MVC upset wins
Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating Rank Team Opponent Result Rating
1 Murray State at Bradley W 72 - 40  90.09 1 Southern Illinois vs Illinois State W 84 - 60  15.98 1 Evansville at Northern Iowa W 68 - 65  18.01
2 Murray State vs Belmont W 69 - 48  85.34 2 Murray State at Bradley W 72 - 40  14.52 2 UIC at Ball State W 66 - 64  17.81
3 Murray State at Austin Peay W 74 - 56  84.15 3 Evansville vs IU Indy W 75 - 58  14.33 3 Northern Iowa at Creighton W 51 - 50  13.54
4 Murray State vs Drake W 95 - 67  84.07 4 Evansville at Northern Iowa W 68 - 65  10.39 4 Evansville vs IU Indy W 75 - 58  13.01
5 Murray State at Indiana State W 114 - 78  83.95 5 Northern Iowa at Southern Illinois W 77 - 48  10.18 5 Murray State vs George Mason W 88 - 83  10.56
6 Belmont vs Brown W 83 - 61  83.35 6 Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso W 97 - 59  10.00 6 Southern Illinois vs Illinois State W 84 - 60  9.86
7 Belmont vs Northern Iowa W 81 - 62  83.33 7 UIC at Ball State W 66 - 64  9.83 7 Southern Illinois at UIC W 55 - 53  9.34
8 Belmont at Tennessee L 58 - 68  82.67 8 Bradley vs Northern Iowa W 69 - 47  9.75 8 Evansville vs Northern Iowa W 64 - 63 OT 9.05
9 Murray State vs Memphis W 85 - 57  82.56 9 Drake at Indiana State W 97 - 77  9.68 9 Southern Illinois vs UIC W 63 - 58  8.31
10 Belmont vs Bradley W 78 - 57  82.22 10 Murray State at Austin Peay W 74 - 56  9.47 10 UIC vs Illinois State W 76 - 64  4.71
MVC projected standings MVC projected tournament bracket (projections in italics)
Conference Overall 1 Murray State
Rank Team W L W L  
1 Murray State 19 1 27 3 8 Evansville @ Coralville, IA Murray State
2 Belmont 16 4 20 11      
3 Northern Iowa 13 7 17 13 @ Coralville, IA Evansville  
4 Illinois State 13 7 19 12    
5 Bradley 13 7 19 11 9 Southern Illinois @ Coralville, IA Murray State
6 UIC 10 10 15 16    
7 Drake 10 10 11 19 4 Illinois State    
8 Evansville 6 14 8 23      
9 Southern Illinois 6 14 7 20 @ Coralville, IA Illinois State  
10 Indiana State 5 15 8 21    
11 Valparaiso 0 20 0 31 5 Bradley  
 
@ Coralville, IA Murray State
MVC tournament probabilities Outcome realized   Outcome unrealized     2026 MVC
Probabilities based on current ratings and projected bracket 2 Belmont   Women's Basketball
Reaching Reaching Winning     Tournament Champion
Seed Team semifinals final tournament 7 Drake @ Coralville, IA Belmont  
1 Murray State 91.29% 66.95% 45.75%        
2 Belmont 78.74% 47.67% 21.67% @ Coralville, IA Drake    
3 Northern Iowa 67.03% 33.76% 13.59%      
4 Illinois State 52.49% 16.86% 7.72% 10 Indiana State @ Coralville, IA Belmont
5 Bradley 47.51% 14.34% 6.23%  
6 UIC 32.83% 11.75% 3.18% 3 Northern Iowa  
7 Drake 18.49% 6.38% 1.47%    
8 Evansville 5.64% 1.30% 0.26% 6 UIC @ Coralville, IA Northern Iowa
9 Southern Illinois 3.07% 0.55% 0.09%    
10 Indiana State 2.77% 0.44% 0.04% @ Coralville, IA UIC
11 Valparaiso 0.13% 0.00% 0.00%  
11 Valparaiso
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